Forecasting world trade: direct versus "bottom-up" approaches
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- Matthias Burgert & Stephane Dees, 2009. "Forecasting World Trade: Direct Versus “Bottom-Up” Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 385-402, July.
References listed on IDEAS
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Citations
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Cited by:
- Martínez-Martín, Jaime & Rusticelli, Elena, 2021.
"Keeping track of global trade in real time,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 224-236.
- Jaime Martinez-Martin & Elena Rusticelli, 2018. "Keeping track of global trade in real time," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1524, OECD Publishing.
- Jaime Martínez-Martín & Elena Rusticelli, 2020. "Keeping track of global trade in real time," Working Papers 2019, Banco de España.
- Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012.
"Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
- Jakaitiene, Audrone & Dées, Stéphane, 2009. "Forecasting the world economy in the short-term," Working Paper Series 1059, European Central Bank.
- Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2014.
"Tracking world trade and GDP in real time,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 847-862.
- Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2013. "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 920, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Michele Modugno & Chiara Osbat, 2017.
"A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(4), pages 1-34, December.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Michele Modugno & Chiara Osbat, 2015. "A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-13, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Osbat, Chiara & D'Agostino, Antonello & Modugno, Michele, 2016. "A global trade model for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1986, European Central Bank.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2022. "Backcasting world trade growth using data reduction methods," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(10), pages 3169-3191, October.
- Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli, 2011. "A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 874, OECD Publishing.
- J.-S. Pentecôte & J.-C. Poutineau & F. Rondeau, 2015.
"Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in the EMU: The Negative Effect of New Trade Flows,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 61-79, February.
- Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Fabien Rondeau, 2013. "Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in the EMU: the Negative Effect of New Trade Flows," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 201313, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
- Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Fabien Rondeau, 2015. "Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in the EMU: the Negative Effect of New Trade Flows," Post-Print hal-02440559, HAL.
- Stephane DEES & Audrone JAKAITIENE, 2008. "Short-term Forecasting Methods of International Trade Variables," EcoMod2008 23800029, EcoMod.
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More about this item
Keywords
factor models; forecasts; Time series models.; world trade;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
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