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Economie constitutionnelle en Afrique: analyse empirique du changement de l’article sur la limitation de mandat des présidents

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  • Joseph Keneck Massil

Abstract

This paper analyzes the constitutional change in Africa by focusing on the current phenomenon of the change in the presidential term limits. The analysis covers the period 1990 - 2010 for a set of 32 countries. Two cases are analyzed: the attempt to change and success. The results obtained with the logit models show that individual factors related to the personality of the President, the quality of the political system, socio-cultural and economics factors are the main factors explaining the will of amending Article and success. The article also shows that in some parts of Africa, the legal origin is an obstacle to constitutional change. Finally, when the opposition is not polarized, it is an obstacle to change, while it serves the interests of the dominant political group wishing to change when it is weak and highly fragmented.

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  • Joseph Keneck Massil, 2015. "Economie constitutionnelle en Afrique: analyse empirique du changement de l’article sur la limitation de mandat des présidents," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-33, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    • Handle: RePEc:drm:wpaper:2015-33
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Africa; Constitutional Change; Article on limiting mandate; logit.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • K10 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - General (Constitutional Law)
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies

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