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The population of centenarians in Brazil: historical estimates from 1900 to 2000

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  • Marilia R. Nepomuceno

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

  • Cássio M. Turra

Abstract

Does anyone know the exact number of centenarians in Brazil? Since the nineteenth century, the census has provided the number of 100-year-olds in one of the most populous countries worldwide. In 1900, 4,438 individuals reported themselves to be centenarians, and 100 years later, 24,576 centenarians were recorded in the census. Due to data quality issues, we are skeptical about the real growth of the recorded population in the census. Therefore, we produce new statistics of the centenarian population through the variable-r method combined with different mortality models. We offer a set of estimates of the most likely number of centenarians in Brazil over the period 1900-2000. There was virtually no centenarian at the beginning of the twentieth century, and only in the 1990s, the centenarian population surpassed 1,000 individuals. Our estimates confirm an extensive over-enumeration of centenarians in census records since 1900. The good news is the improvement in census data collection over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Marilia R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2019. "The population of centenarians in Brazil: historical estimates from 1900 to 2000," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2019-015, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2019-015
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2019-015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dana Glei & Andres Barajas Paz & Jose Manuel Aburto & Magali Barbieri, 2021. "Mexican mortality 1990‒2016: Comparison of unadjusted and adjusted estimates," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(30), pages 719-758.
    2. Filipe Costa Souza & Wilton Bernardino & Silvio C. Patricio, 2024. "How life-table right-censoring affected the Brazilian social security factor: an application of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 1-38, September.
    3. Marília R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2020. "Assessing the quality of education reporting in Brazilian censuses," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 42(15), pages 441-460.
    4. Marilia R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2019. "Assessing the quality of self-reported education in Brazil with intercensal survivorship ratios," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2019-022, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Tianyu Shen & Collin Payne, 2021. "The role of reductions in old-age mortality in old-age population growth," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(44), pages 1073-1084.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    census data; centenarians; data evaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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