IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/dem/demres/v20y2009i20.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The number of centenarians in Brazil: Indirect estimates based on death certificates

Author

Listed:
  • Marilia Miranda Fortes Gomes

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG))

  • Cássio M. Turra

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG))

Abstract

The Brazilian population is rapidly aging. As a result, the number of centenarians has grown steadily, about 77 per cent between 1991 and 2000. Although expected, the increasing number of centenarians may be exaggerated by data quality issues. We compare the recorded centenarian population in the 1991 census with indirect estimates based on the extinct generation method. We find three times more people in the census than according to the indirect estimates. Uncertainty about the true size of old-age populations has important implications in data-deficient countries, particularly in the estimation of adult mortality.

Suggested Citation

  • Marilia Miranda Fortes Gomes & Cássio M. Turra, 2009. "The number of centenarians in Brazil: Indirect estimates based on death certificates," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 20(20), pages 495-502.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:20:y:2009:i:20
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2009.20.20
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol20/20/20-20.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4054/DemRes.2009.20.20?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Bourbeau & André Lebel, 2000. "Mortality statistics for the oldest-old," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 2(2).
    2. Irma Elo & Samuel Preston, 1994. "Estimating African-American mortality from inaccurate data," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 31(3), pages 427-458, August.
    3. A. Roger Thatcher & Väinö Kannisto & Kirill F. Andreev, 2002. "The Survivor Ratio Method for Estimating Numbers at High Ages," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cássio M. Turra & Fernando Fernandes & Júlia Almeida Calazans & Marília R. Nepomuceno, 2023. "Age reporting for the oldest old in the Brazilian COVID-19 vaccination database: What can we learn from it?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 48(28), pages 829-848.
    2. Marília R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2020. "The Population of Centenarians in Brazil: Historical Estimates from 1900 to 2000," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 46(4), pages 813-833, December.
    3. Marília R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2020. "Assessing the quality of education reporting in Brazilian censuses," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 42(15), pages 441-460.
    4. Dana Glei & Andres Barajas Paz & Jose Manuel Aburto & Magali Barbieri, 2021. "Mexican mortality 1990‒2016: Comparison of unadjusted and adjusted estimates," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(30), pages 719-758.
    5. Filipe Costa Souza & Wilton Bernardino & Silvio C. Patricio, 2024. "How life-table right-censoring affected the Brazilian social security factor: an application of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 1-38, September.
    6. Marilia R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2019. "Assessing the quality of self-reported education in Brazil with intercensal survivorship ratios," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2019-022, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dmitri A. Jdanov & Domantas Jasilionis & Eugeny L. Soroko & Roland Rau & James W. Vaupel, 2008. "Beyond the Kannisto-Thatcher Database on Old Age Mortality: an assessment of data quality at advanced ages," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2008-013, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    2. Kirill F. Andreev, 2004. "A Method for Estimating Size of Population Aged 90 and over with Application to the U.S. Census 2000 Data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 11(9), pages 235-262.
    3. Marília R. Nepomuceno & Cássio M. Turra, 2020. "The Population of Centenarians in Brazil: Historical Estimates from 1900 to 2000," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 46(4), pages 813-833, December.
    4. Dana Glei & Magali Barbieri & Carolina Santamaría-Ulloa, 2019. "Costa Rican mortality 1950‒2013: An evaluation of data quality and trends compared with other countries," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(29), pages 835-864.
    5. Stephane Helleringer & Chong You & Laurence Fleury & Laetitia Douillot & Insa Diouf & Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye & Valerie Delaunay & Rene Vidal, 2019. "Improving age measurement in low- and middle-income countries through computer vision: A test in Senegal," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(9), pages 219-260.
    6. Teresa Ghilarducci & Kyle Moore, 2015. "Racially Disparate Effects of Raising the Retirement Age," SCEPA working paper series. 2015-03, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    7. Cook, Lisa D. & Logan, Trevon D. & Parman, John M., 2016. "The mortality consequences of distinctively black names," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 114-125.
    8. Rembrandt D. Scholz & Heiner Maier, 2003. "German unification and the plasticity of mortality at older ages," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2003-031, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    9. Dmitri A. Jdanov & Rembrandt D. Scholz & Vladimir Shkolnikov, 2005. "Official population statistics and the Human Mortality Database estimates of populations aged 80+ in Germany and nine other European countries," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(14), pages 335-362.
    10. Cook, Lisa D. & Logan, Trevon D. & Parman, John M., 2014. "Distinctively black names in the American past," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 64-82.
    11. Dmitri A. Jdanov & Rembrandt D. Scholz & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, 2005. "Official population statistics and the Human Mortality Database estimates of populations aged 80+ in Germany and nine other European countries," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2005-010, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    12. Andrew Fenelon, 2013. "An examination of black/white differences in the rate of age-related mortality increase," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 29(17), pages 441-472.
    13. Wang, Hsin-Chung & Yue, Ching-Syang Jack & Chong, Chen-Tai, 2018. "Mortality models and longevity risk for small populations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 351-359.
    14. Yi Zeng & James W. Vaupel, 2003. "Oldest Old Mortality in China," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 8(7), pages 215-244.
    15. Dora L. Costa, 2015. "Health and the Economy in the United States from 1750 to the Present," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 53(3), pages 503-570, September.
    16. Cássio M. Turra & Fernando Fernandes & Júlia Almeida Calazans & Marília R. Nepomuceno, 2023. "Age reporting for the oldest old in the Brazilian COVID-19 vaccination database: What can we learn from it?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 48(28), pages 829-848.
    17. A. Fiori Maccioni & A. Bitinas, 2013. "Lithuanian pension system's reforms following demographic and social transitions," Working Paper CRENoS 201315, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    18. Ernest Lo & Dan Vatnik & Andrea Benedetti & Robert Bourbeau, 2016. "Variance models of the last age interval and their impact on life expectancy at subnational scales," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(15), pages 399-454.
    19. Dan A. Black & Yu-Chieh Hsu & Seth G. Sanders & Lowell J. Taylor, 2017. "Combining forward and backward mortality estimation," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 71(3), pages 281-292, September.
    20. Bridget Fisher, 2015. "The Myth of Self-Financing: The Trade-Offs Behind the Hudson Yards Redevelopment Project," SCEPA working paper series. 2015-04, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    mortality; longevity; Brazil; centenarians; age misreporting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:20:y:2009:i:20. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Editorial Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.