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Real Exchange Rates and Exchange Rate Policy in Hungary

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  • Halpern, László

Abstract

Five real exchange rate indicators are computed to assess the international competitiveness of Hungarian industry. These indicators are explained in econometric equations by employment, unemployment, productivity, interest spread and real producer wage. Causality tests reveal that external performance has an impact on real exchange rates and contributes to the explanation of real exchange rates. There is very limited scope for policy intervention to constrain the negative effects of capital inflow without incurring other costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Halpern, László, 1996. "Real Exchange Rates and Exchange Rate Policy in Hungary," CEPR Discussion Papers 1366, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1366
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    1. Halpern, László & Wyplosz, Charles, 1995. "Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Transition," CEPR Discussion Papers 1145, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Frait, Jan & Komárek, Luboš, 2002. "Theoretical And Empirical Analysis Of The Debt-Adjusted Real Exchange Rate In Selected Transition Economies During 1994-2001," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 646, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    2. Rossitsa Rangelova, 1999. "Economic Growth in Transition CEECs: Implications for and of Modern Growth Theory," ERI-BAS Chapters, in: Mitko Dimitrov & Wladimir Andreff & Laszlo Csaba (ed.), Economies in Transition and the Variety of Capitalisms. Features, Changes, Convergence, edition 1, chapter 12, pages 102-126, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute.
    3. Frait, Jan & Komarek, Lubos, 2001. "Real exchange rate trends in transitional countries," Economic Research Papers 269366, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    4. Kovács, Mihály András, 1999. "Reálárfolyam-mutatók és a magyar gazdaság ár- és költség-versenyképessége [Indicators of real exchange rates and the price and cost efficiency of the Hungarian economy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 145-175.
    5. Michel Aglietta & Virginie Coudert & Camille Baulant, 1999. "Compétitivité et régime de change en Europe centrale," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 50(6), pages 1221-1236.
    6. Balázs Égert, 2005. "The Balassa‐Samuelson Hypothesis in Estonia: Oil Shale, Tradable Goods, Regulated Prices and Other Culprits," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 259-286, February.
    7. Kornai, János, 1996. "Kiigazítás recesszió nélkül. Esettanulmány a magyar stabilizációról [Adjustment without recession: A Case Study of Hungarian Stabilization]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 585-613.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Policy; Hungary; Real Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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