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Medición del impacto del huracán Mitch en el bienestar de los hogares de Nicaragua

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  • Jacques Christophe Diderot Julien

Abstract

Al final del ano 1998, un ano de pleno crecimiento económico después de largos períodos de violencia y enfrentamientos armados, Nicaragua fue azotada por el huracán Mitch que afectó al 19% de su población. Este estudio tiene como objetivo medir el impacto económico que tuvo este fenómeno en el bienestar de los hogares de la sociedad nicaraguense. Las variables gastos de consumo y valor de los activos son utilizados para la medición del impacto del huracán a mediano plazo en el bienestar de los hogares (dos anos después de la catástrofe). Con datos colectados antes y después del huracán Mitch, se aplican los métodos de diferencia-en-diferencia" y Efectos Aleatorios para la comparación las variables antes mencionadas entre dos periodos. Los resultados indican que el fenómeno natural afectó negativamente el bienestar de los hogares. En el caso del consumo, el huracán Mitch ha ocasionado una disminución de 211.00 (con el modelo de Efectos Aleatorios) a 230.65 córdobas (con el modelo de diferencia en diferencia) que equivale a una disminución de 20 a 22 dólares en el gasto mensual de los hogares de Nicaragua. El impacto de este fenómeno natural en el valor de los activos se evalúa entre 5,152.16 y 4,581.0 córdobas que equivale a una disminución de 487 a 433 dólares."

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Christophe Diderot Julien, 2005. "Medición del impacto del huracán Mitch en el bienestar de los hogares de Nicaragua," Documentos CEDE 6736, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:006736
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Desastre natural; impactos directos; impactos indirectos; gastosde consumo; activos.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
    • D6 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

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