IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cir/cirwor/2022s-06.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Seasonal adjustment of daily data with CAMPLET

Author

Listed:
  • Barend Abeln
  • Jan P.A.M. Jacobs
  • Machiel Mulder

Abstract

In the last decade large data sets have become available, both in terms of the number of time series and with higher frequencies (weekly, daily and even higher). All series may suffer from seasonality, which hides other important fluctuations. Therefore time series are typically seasonally adjusted. However, standard seasonal adjustment methods cannot handle series with higher than monthly frequencies. Recently, Abeln et al. (2019) presented CAMPLET, a new seasonal adjustment method, which does not produce revisions when new observations become available. The aim of this paper is to show the attractiveness of CAMPLET for seasonal adjustment of daily time series. We apply CAMPLET to daily data on the gas system in the Netherlands. To quote this document: Au cours de la dernière décennie, de vastes ensembles de données sont devenus disponibles, tant en termes de nombre de séries chronologiques que de fréquences plus élevées (hebdomadaires, quotidiennes et même supérieures). Toutes les séries peuvent souffrir d'une saisonnalité, qui masque d'autres fluctuations importantes. C'est pourquoi les séries temporelles sont généralement désaisonnalisées. Cependant, les méthodes standard de désaisonnalisation ne peuvent pas traiter les séries dont la fréquence est supérieure au mois. Récemment, Abeln et al. (2019) ont présenté CAMPLET, une nouvelle méthode de désaisonnalisation, qui ne produit pas de révisions lorsque de nouvelles observations sont disponibles. L'objectif de cet article est de montrer l'attrait de CAMPLET pour l'ajustement saisonnier des séries temporelles quotidiennes. Nous appliquons CAMPLET à des données quotidiennes sur le réseau de gaz aux Pays-Bas. Pour citer ce document:

Suggested Citation

  • Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Machiel Mulder, 2022. "Seasonal adjustment of daily data with CAMPLET," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-06, CIRANO.
  • Handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2022s-06
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cirano.qc.ca/files/publications/2022s-06.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
    2. Proietti, Tommaso & Pedregal, Diego J., 2023. "Seasonality in High Frequency Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 62-82.
    3. Schipperus, Ouren T. & Mulder, Machiel, 2015. "The effectiveness of policies to transform a gas-exporting country into a gas-transit country: The case of The Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 117-127.
    4. Ghysels,Eric & Osborn,Denise R., 2001. "The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521565882, September.
    5. Ollech Daniel, 2021. "Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 235-264, July.
    6. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2003. "Time Series Modelling of Daily Tax Revenues," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 57(4), pages 439-469, November.
    7. Ollech, Daniel, 2018. "Seasonal adjustment of daily time series," Discussion Papers 41/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 53-61, Springer.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 53-61, Springer.
    2. Webel, Karsten, 2022. "A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series," Discussion Papers 31/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Ollech, Daniel, 2018. "Seasonal adjustment of daily time series," Discussion Papers 41/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Christoffersen, Peter & Ghysels, Eric & Swanson, Norman R., 2002. "Let's get "real" about using economic data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 343-360, August.
    5. Xilong Chen & Eric Ghysels, 2011. "News--Good or Bad--and Its Impact on Volatility Predictions over Multiple Horizons," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(1), pages 46-81, October.
    6. Franses, Philip Hans, 2013. "Data revisions and periodic properties of macroeconomic data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 139-141.
    7. Chambers, Marcus J. & Ercolani, Joanne S. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "Testing for seasonal unit roots by frequency domain regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 243-258.
    8. Robert Ambrisko, 2022. "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables Using High-Frequency Fiscal Data," Working Papers 2022/5, Czech National Bank.
    9. Roberto Cellini & Tiziana Cuccia, 2013. "Museum and monument attendance and tourism flow: a time series analysis approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(24), pages 3473-3482, August.
    10. del Barrio Castro, Tomás & Hecq, Alain, 2016. "Testing for deterministic seasonality in mixed-frequency VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 20-24.
    11. Curry, Bruce, 2007. "Neural networks and seasonality: Some technical considerations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 267-274, May.
    12. Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
    13. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Alexandru MANOLE & Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL, 2016. "The major economic evolution of Romania by the middle of 2016," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(609), W), pages 165-182, Winter.
    14. Politis, Dimitris, 2016. "HEGY test under seasonal heterogeneity," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt2q4054kf, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    15. Nahata, Babu & Izyumov, Alexei & Busygin, Vladimir & Mishura, Anna, 2007. "Application of Ramsey model in transition economy: A Russian case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 105-125, January.
    16. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2013. "Vector autoregressive models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 6, pages 139-164, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    17. Vaz, Lucélia Viviane & Filho, Getulio Borges da Silveira, 2017. "Functional Autoregressive Models: An Application to Brazilian Hourly Electricity Load," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 37(2), November.
    18. Haldrup, Niels & Hylleberg, Svend & Pons, Gabriel & Sanso, Andreu, 2007. "Common Periodic Correlation Features and the Interaction of Stocks and Flows in Daily Airport Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 21-32, January.
    19. Yorghos Tripodis & Jeremy Penzer, 2009. "Modelling time series with season-dependent autocorrelation structure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 559-574.
    20. Alexander Vosseler & Enzo Weber, 2017. "Bayesian analysis of periodic unit roots in the presence of a break," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(38), pages 3841-3862, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    daily data; seasonal adjustment; calendar effect; gas system; the Netherlands; données quotidiennes; ajustement saisonnier; effet de calendrier; système de gaz; les Pays-Bas.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2022s-06. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ciranca.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.