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Will coronavirus cause a big city exodus?

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  • Max Nathan
  • Henry G. Overman

Abstract

Big cities thrive because of the economic and social benefits of proximity - but proximity also helps to spread Covid-19. Does this mean an end to the urban revival of recent years - or do vaccines herald a return to normality? According to Henry Overman and Max Nathan, much will depend on how far the forced experiments of lockdown translate into new norms.

Suggested Citation

  • Max Nathan & Henry G. Overman, 2021. "Will coronavirus cause a big city exodus?," CentrePiece - The magazine for economic performance 601, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:cepcnp:601
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    2. Kazuhiro Asakawa & Jeremy Clegg, 2024. "The changing faces of global cities and firms: a new perspective on firms’ location strategy," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 55(1), pages 37-49, February.
    3. Shauna Brail, 2021. "Patterns amidst the turmoil: COVID-19 and cities," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 48(4), pages 598-603, May.
    4. Nataliya Rybnikova & Dani Broitman & Daniel Czamanski, 2023. "Initial signs of post-covid-19 physical structures of cities in Israel," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Arin, K. Peren & Lacomba, Juan A. & Lagos, Francisco & Moro-Egido, Ana I. & Thum, Marcel, 2022. "Exploring the hidden impact of the Covid-19 pandemic: The role of urbanization," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    6. Bergeaud, Antonin & Eyméoud, Jean-Benoît & Garcia, Thomas & Henricot, Dorian, 2023. "Working from home and corporate real estate," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Steven Bond-Smith & Philip McCann, 2022. "The work-from-home revolution and the performance of cities," Working Papers 2022-6, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    8. Paul Cheshire & Christian A. L. Hilber & Olivier Schöni, 2021. "The pandemic and the housing market: a British story," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-020, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    9. Bumjoon Kang & Jaewoong Won & Eun Jung Kim, 2021. "COVID-19 Impact on Residential Preferences in the Early-Stage Outbreak in South Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-14, October.
    10. Luca, Davide & Özgüzel, Cem & Wei, Zhiwu, 2024. "The spatially uneven diffusion of remote jobs in Europe," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122651, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Hongjik Kim & Chihiro Shimizu, 2022. "The Relationship between Geographic Accessibility to Neighborhood Facilities, Remote Work, and Changes in Neighborhood Satisfaction after the Emergence of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-20, August.
    12. van Vuuren, Aico, 2022. "Is there a diminishing value of urban amenities as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic?," Working Papers in Economics 818, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    13. J. Javier Serrano & Félix Fajardo, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Territory and Demographic Processes: A View from Spanish Rural and Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-27, May.
    14. Przemysław Śleszyński & Amir Reza Khavarian-Garmsir & Maciej Nowak & Paulina Legutko-Kobus & Mohammad Hajian Hossein Abadi & Noura Al Nasiri, 2023. "COVID-19 Spatial Policy: A Comparative Review of Urban Policies in the European Union and the Middle East," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-30, January.
    15. Gerritse, Michiel, 2022. "COVID-19 transmission in cities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    16. van Vuuren, Aico, 2023. "Is there a diminishing willingness to pay for consumption amenities as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    17. Kaitlin Kish & Katharine Zywert & Martin Hensher & Barbara Jane Davy & Stephen Quilley, 2021. "Socioecological System Transformation: Lessons from COVID-19," World, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17, January.
    18. Kyra Voll & Felix Gauger & Andreas Pfnür, 2022. "CREM perspective on home office—a consideration of the workplace and its mechanisms of action [CREM Perspektive auf Heimarbeit – eine Betrachtung ausgewählter Wirkungsmechanismen des Arbeitsorts]," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 8(2), pages 139-171, October.
    19. XQiumeng Li & Weipan Xu, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on bike-sharing travel pattern and flow structure: evidence from Wuhan [Exploring bike-sharing travel patterns and trip purposes using smart card data and online point of int," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 15(3), pages 477-494.
    20. PENG, Xue & DAI, Erbiao, 2023. "Who Are Leaving Metropolitan Areas in the Post-COVID-19 Era：An Analysis of Urban Residents' Migration Decisions in Japan," AGI Working Paper Series 2023-05, Asian Growth Research Institute.
    21. Martin Thomas Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2022. "Domestic tourism demand in the North and the South of Europe in the Covid-19 summer of 2020," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(2), pages 537-553, October.
    22. Miyu Komaki & Haruka Kato & Daisuke Matsushita, 2023. "Why Did Urban Exodus Occur during the COVID-19 Pandemic from the Perspective of Residential Preference of Each Type of Household? Case of Japanese Metropolitan Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-19, February.
    23. Rink, Dieter & Haase, Annegret & Leibert, Tim & Wolff, Manuel, 2022. "COVID-19 als Ursache temporärer Schrumpfung: Zur Einwohnerentwicklung der 15 größten deutschen Städte im Jahr 2021," UFZ Discussion Papers 5/2022, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Division of Social Sciences (ÖKUS).
    24. van der Wouden, Frank & Youn, Hyejin, 2023. "The impact of geographical distance on learning through collaboration," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(2).

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    Keywords

    Covid-19; economic geography; housing markets; innovation; labour;
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