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Migration strategies of the crisis-stricken youth in an enlarged European Union

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  • Martin Kahanec
  • Brian Fabo

Abstract

This paper studies the migration response of the youth from new EU member states to disparate conditions in an enlarged European Union at the onset of the Great Recession. We use the Eurobarometer data and probabilistic econometric models to identify the key drivers of the intention to work in another member state of European Economic Area (EEA) and their expected duration. We find that migration intentions are high among those not married and among males with children, but both categories are also overrepresented among people with only temporary as opposed to long-term or permanent migration plans. Whereas age affects migration intentions negatively, education has no effect on whether working abroad is envisaged. However, conditional on envisaging to work abroad, completion of education (if after 16th birthday) is associated with long-term (at least five years), but not permanent, migration plans. Finally, we find that socio-demographic variables explain about as much variation of migration intentions as self-reported push and pull factors and migration constraints.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Kahanec & Brian Fabo, 2013. "Migration strategies of the crisis-stricken youth in an enlarged European Union," Discussion Papers 6, Central European Labour Studies Institute (CELSI).
    • Handle: RePEc:cel:dpaper:6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kahanec, Martin, 2012. "Skilled Labor Flows: Lessons from the European Union," IZA Research Reports 49, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Martin Kahanec, 2013. "Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union," Chapters, in: Amelie F. Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Migration, chapter 7, pages 137-152, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), 2010. "EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-02242-5, January.
    4. Corrado Giulietti & Martin Guzi & Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2013. "Unemployment benefits and immigration: evidence from the EU," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(1), pages 24-38, March.
    5. Dr Tatiana Fic & Ana Rincon-Aznar & Lucy Stokes & Dawn Holland, 2011. "Labour mobility within the EU," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 379, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    6. Zimmermann, Klaus F. (ed.), 2005. "European Migration: What Do We Know?," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199257355.
    7. Dr Tatiana Fic & Ana Rincon-Aznar & Lucy Stokes & Dawn Holland, 2011. "Labour mobility within the EU," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 379, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    8. Amelie F. Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), 2013. "International Handbook on the Economics of Migration," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 4026.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Mihails Hazans, 2016. "Migration Experience of the Baltic Countries in the Context of Economic Crisis," Springer Books, in: Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), Labor Migration, EU Enlargement, and the Great Recession, pages 297-344, Springer.
    2. Qinyi Jiang & Yuanyuan Wang & Xiaomei Ye & Xinger Li & Weimin Pan & Yuqu Wang, 2024. "Human Capital, Life Satisfaction, and the Floating Population’s Urban Settlement Intention in Cities—A Case Study of Six Cities in the Pearl River Delta," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-23, June.
    3. Christina Diane Bastianon, 2019. "Youth Migration Aspirations in Georgia and Moldova," Migration Letters, Migration Letters, vol. 16(1), pages 105-121, January.
    4. Fakih, Ali & El Baba, Malak, 2023. "The Decision to Emigrate in Six MENA Countries: The Role of Post-Revolutionary Stress," IZA Discussion Papers 15933, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Raul Ramos, 2019. "Migration aspirations among youth in the Middle East and North Africa region," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 487-507, December.
    6. Maryna Tverdostup & Jaan Masso, 2016. "The labour market performance of young return migrants after the crisis in CEE countries: the case of Estonia," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 16(2), pages 192-220.
    7. Ghassan Dibeh & Ali Fakih & Walid Marrouch, 2017. "Decision to Emigrate Amongst the Youth in Lebanon," CIRANO Working Papers 2017s-04, CIRANO.
    8. Ramos, Raul, 2017. "Migration Aspirations among NEETs in Selected MENA Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 11146, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Jacqueline O’Reilly & Werner Eichhorst & András Gábos & Kari Hadjivassiliou & David Lain & Janine Leschke & Seamus McGuinness & Lucia Mýtna Kureková & Tiziana Nazio & Renate Ortlieb & Helen Russ, 2015. "Five Characteristics of Youth Unemployment in Europe," SAGE Open, , vol. 5(1), pages 21582440155, March.
    10. Martin Kahanec & Lucia Mýtna Kureková, 2016. "Did Post-enlargement Labor Mobility Help the EU to Adjust During the Great Recession? The Case of Slovakia," Springer Books, in: Martin Kahanec & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), Labor Migration, EU Enlargement, and the Great Recession, pages 189-218, Springer.
    11. Milasi Santo, 2020. "What Drives Youth’s Intention to Migrate Abroad? Evidence from International Survey Data," IZA Journal of Development and Migration, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-30, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU labor markets; migration; youth; EU enlargement; labor mobility; free movement of workers; transitional arrangements; new member states; European U;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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