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Market Efficiency and the U.S. Market for Sulfur Dioxide Allowances: Working Paper 2014-01

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  • Claudia Hitaj
  • Andrew Stocking

Abstract

Focusing on the U.S. sulfur dioxide (SO2) allowance market from its inception (in 1994) to 2009, we model allowance prices to determine the influence of market fundamentals—such as prices of high- and low-sulfur coal—on allowance price level and volatility. Our empirical analysis finds that the SO2 market, similar to other emission markets studied in the literature, had relatively weak influence of market fundamentals for several years after launch—that is, allowance prices did not reflect marginal abatement costs for the first several years of operation. However, we find

Suggested Citation

  • Claudia Hitaj & Andrew Stocking, 2014. "Market Efficiency and the U.S. Market for Sulfur Dioxide Allowances: Working Paper 2014-01," Working Papers 45044, Congressional Budget Office.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbo:wpaper:45044
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    File URL: https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/113th-congress-2013-2014/workingpaper/45044-SO2MarketAnalysis_1.pdf
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gabriel E Lade & C -Y Cynthia Lin Lawell & Aaron Smith, 2018. "Policy Shocks and Market-Based Regulations: Evidence from the Renewable Fuel Standard," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(3), pages 707-731.
    3. Zhou, Yishu & Huang, Ling, 2021. "How regional policies reduce carbon emissions in electricity markets: Fuel switching or emission leakage," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

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