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The Short Lags of Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Buda, G
  • Carvalho, V. M.
  • Corsetti, G
  • Duarte, J. B.
  • Hansen, S.
  • Moura, A. S.
  • Ortiz, Ã .
  • Rodrigo, T.
  • Rodríguez Mora, J. V.
  • Alves da Silva, G.

Abstract

We examine the transmission of monetary policy shocks to the macroeconomy at high frequency. To do this, we build daily consumption and investment aggregates using bank transaction records and leverage administrative data for measures of daily gross output and employment for Spain. We show that variables typically regarded as "slow moving", such as consumption and output, respond significantly within weeks. In contrast, the responses of aggregate employment and consumer prices are slow and peak at long lags. Disaggregating by sector, consumption category and supply-chain distance to final demand, we find that fast adjustment is led by downstream sectors tied to final consumption—in particular luxuries and durables—and that the response of upstream sectors is slower but more persistent. Finally, we find that time aggregation to the quarterly frequency alters the identification of monetary policy transmission, shifting significant responses to longer lags, whereas weekly or monthly aggregation preserves daily-frequency results.

Suggested Citation

  • Buda, G & Carvalho, V. M. & Corsetti, G & Duarte, J. B. & Hansen, S. & Moura, A. S. & Ortiz, à . & Rodrigo, T. & Rodríguez Mora, J. V. & Alves da Silva, G., 2025. "The Short Lags of Monetary Policy," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2504, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:cam:camjip:2504
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Event-study; Monetary Policy; Economic Activity; High-Frequency Data; Local Projections;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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