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Partisan Voting Under Uncertainty

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  • Lily Ling Yang

Abstract

We consider a common-value voting model in which voters are uncertain about the precision of the information they receive. With incomplete preference, party supporters adopt their own party as their status quo and vote for it whenever it is justi able under some belief. Uncertainty is ampli ed by strategic consideration. As a result, voting becomes fully partisan and party supporters stick to their own party in large elections, even though all voters share the same preference. Additionally, voting is more partisan when voting is compulsory or when the population of party supporters is sufficiently large.

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  • Lily Ling Yang, 2024. "Partisan Voting Under Uncertainty," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_574, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2024_574
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    File URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp574
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Common values; Elections; Information aggregation; Knightian uncertainty; Partisan voting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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