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Bank lending and loan quality: the case of India

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  • Pallavi Chavan
  • Leonardo Gambacorta

Abstract

This paper analyses how non-performing loans (NPLs) of Indian banks behave through the cycle. We find that a one-percentage point increase in loan growth is associated with an increase in NPLs over total advances (NPL ratio) of 4.3 per cent in the long run with the response being higher during expansionary phases. Furthermore, NPL ratios of banks are found to be sensitive to the interest rate environment and the overall growth of the economy. Notwithstanding differences in management and governance structures, there is a procyclical risk-taking response to credit growth in the case of both public and private banks with private banks being more reactive to changes in interest rate and business cycle conditions.

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  • Pallavi Chavan & Leonardo Gambacorta, 2016. "Bank lending and loan quality: the case of India," BIS Working Papers 595, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:595
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    Cited by:

    1. Aswini Kumar Mishra & Shikhar Jain & Mohammad Abid, 2021. "Non‐performing assets and its determinants in the Indian banking system: An empirical analysis using dynamic panel data models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5948-5962, October.
    2. Veronica B Bayangos & Jeremy De Jesus, 2020. "Have domestic prudential policies been effective? Insights from bank-level property loan data," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Measuring the effectiveness of macroprudential policies using supervisory bank-level data, volume 110, pages 63-79, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Mostak Ahamed, M., 2017. "Asset quality, non-interest income, and bank profitability: Evidence from Indian banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-14.
    4. Anju Goswami, 2023. "COVID-19: boon/disguise for Indian banks?," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(4), pages 381-402, December.
    5. Almir ALIHODŽIĆ & İbrahim Halil EKŞİ, 2018. "Credit growth and non-performing loans: evidence from Turkey and some Balkan countries," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 9, pages 229-249, December.
    6. Pramahender, 2022. "Critical Perspectives to Non-performing Assets of Indian Banks, Shrinking Balance Sheet, Challenges and Way Ahead," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 11(2), pages 130-136, June.
    7. Chundakkadan, Radeef & Sasidharan, Subash, 2020. "Central bank's liquidity provision and firms' financial constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 245-255.
    8. Aswini Kumar Mishra & Shikhar Jain & Mohammad Abid & Manogna R L, 2021. "Macro‐economic determinants of non‐performing assets in the Indian banking system: A panel data analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3819-3834, July.
    9. Kandela Ramesh, 2019. "Bad Loans of Public Sector Banks in India: A Panel Data Study," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 22-30, May.
    10. Swati Singh & Manpreet Arora, 2023. "Examining and analysing the determinants of non-performing assets in public and private sector banks in India," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 25(4), pages 553-568.

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    Keywords

    Procylicality; loan quality; bank lending; bank ownership; moral hazard;
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