IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/1185.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Los determinantes de la liquidez en Colombia: un análisis del mercado de divisas de contado

Author

Listed:
  • David Castañeda-Arévalo
  • Fredy Gamboa-Estrada

Abstract

En este documento se estudia la evolución de la liquidez del mercado cambiario de contado en Colombia y sus principales determinantes entre 2006 y 2020. Estimando indicadores de liquidez con información intradía del sistema electrónico de transacciones del mercado de divisas SET-FX, se analizan diferentes dimensiones de la liquidez, tales como los costos de transacción y la resiliencia. Igualmente, se estudian los principales determinantes de la liquidez del mercado cambiario considerando factores de demanda, de oferta y de condiciones de mercado. Los resultados del estudio de eventos indican que los costos asociados a las transacciones realizadas en el mercado cambiario fueron más altos durante la reciente crisis causada por la COVID-19, mientras que el impacto que tuvo el volumen transado sobre la tasa de cambio fue mayor durante la crisis financiera de 2008 y 2009. Los resultados empíricos evidencian que las condiciones monetarias locales, la volatilidad del peso colombiano, la volatilidad del mercado de TES, las restricciones de financiamiento externo, las condiciones financieras en Estados Unidos, y la percepción de riesgo a nivel mundial son los principales determinantes de la liquidez en el mercado cambiario colombiano. **** ABSTRACT: The objective of this paper is to study the evolution of liquidity in the spot foreign exchange market in Colombia and its main determinants from 2006 and 2020. First, we analyze different dimensions of liquidity such as transaction costs and resilience. We achieve our objective by measuring liquidity through different types of indicators using intraday data from the centralized interbank foreign exchange electronic market service. Second, we study the main determinants of liquidity considering supply-side, demand-side, and market conditions factors. The event study analysis evidence that transaction costs were higher during the recent crisis caused by the COVID-19, while the price impact of transactions in the FX market was higher during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The empirical results highlight that local monetary conditions, Colombian peso volatility, the volatility of the Colombian debt market, foreign funding constraints, U.S. financial conditions and global risk perception are the main determinants of liquidity in the Colombian spot foreign exchange market.

Suggested Citation

  • David Castañeda-Arévalo & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada, 2021. "Los determinantes de la liquidez en Colombia: un análisis del mercado de divisas de contado," Borradores de Economia 1185, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1185
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1185
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1185
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.1185?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Loriano Mancini & Angelo Ranaldo & Jan Wrampelmeyer, 2013. "Liquidity in the Foreign Exchange Market: Measurement, Commonality, and Risk Premiums," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(5), pages 1805-1841, October.
    2. Melvin, Michael & Taylor, Mark P., 2009. "The crisis in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1317-1330, December.
    3. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2009. "Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(6), pages 2201-2238, June.
    4. Bessembinder, Hendrik, 1994. "Bid-ask spreads in the interbank foreign exchange markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 317-348, June.
    5. Boothe, Paul M, 1988. "Exchange Rate Risk and the Bid-Ask Spread: A Seven Country Comparison," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 26(3), pages 485-492, July.
    6. Glassman, Debra, 1987. "Exchange rate risk and transactions costs: Evidence from bid-ask spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 479-490, December.
    7. David A. Hsieh & Allan W. Kleidon, 1996. "Bid-Ask Spreads in Foreign Exchange Markets: Implications for Models of Asymmetric Information," NBER Chapters, in: The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets, pages 41-72, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Gustavo Adler & Kyun Suk Chang & Rui Mano & Yuting Shao, 2021. "Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Dataset of Public Data and Proxies," IMF Working Papers 2021/047, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Amihud, Yakov, 2002. "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-56, January.
    10. Brissimis, Sophocles N. & Chionis, Dionysios P., 2004. "Foreign exchange market intervention: implications of publicly announced and secret intervention for the euro exchange rate and its volatility," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 661-673, September.
    11. Andrey Duván Rincón-Torres & Kimberly Rojas-Silva & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2021. "The Interdependence of FX and Treasury Bonds Markets: The Case of Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1171, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    12. Bollerslev, Tim & Melvin, Michael, 1994. "Bid--ask spreads and volatility in the foreign exchange market : An empirical analysis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3-4), pages 355-372, May.
    13. Nina Karnaukh & Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2015. "Understanding FX Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(11), pages 3073-3108.
    14. Stoll, Hans R, 1978. "The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(4), pages 1133-1151, September.
    15. Banti, Chiara & Phylaktis, Kate, 2015. "FX market liquidity, funding constraints and capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 114-134.
    16. Bank for International Settlements, 2017. "Foreign exchange liquidity in the Americas," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 90.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chiara Banti, 2016. "Illiquidity In The Stock And Foreign Exchange Markets: An Investigation Of Their Cross-Market Dynamics," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 411-436, December.
    2. Banti, Chiara & Phylaktis, Kate & Sarno, Lucio, 2012. "Global liquidity risk in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 267-291.
    3. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Lee, Jieun & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "How does FX liquidity affect the relationship between foreign ownership and stock liquidity?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-119.
    5. Nina Karnaukh & Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2015. "Understanding FX Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(11), pages 3073-3108.
    6. Angelo Ranaldo & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2018. "Trading Volume, Illiquidity and Commonalities in FX Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1823, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Oct 2019.
    7. Banti, Chiara & Phylaktis, Kate, 2015. "FX market liquidity, funding constraints and capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 114-134.
    8. Serdengeçti, Süleyman & Sensoy, Ahmet & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2021. "Dynamics of return and liquidity (co) jumps in emerging foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Carsten Detken & Philipp Hartmann, 2000. "The Euro and International Capital Markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(1), pages 53-94, April.
    10. Ranaldo, Angelo & Somogyi, Fabricius, 2021. "Asymmetric information risk in FX markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 391-411.
    11. Hua, Mingshu, 2009. "A study on foreign exchange dealers' bid-ask spread quote behavior," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 506-523, September.
    12. Orlov, Vitaly, 2016. "Currency momentum, carry trade, and market illiquidity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-11.
    13. Hartmann, Philipp, 1998. "Do Reuters spreads reflect currencies' differences in global trading activity?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 757-784, October.
    14. Chang, Ya-Ting & Gau, Yin-Feng & Hsu, Chih-Chiang, 2017. "Liquidity Commonality in Foreign Exchange Markets During the Global Financial Crisis and the Sovereign Debt Crisis: Effects of Macroeconomic and Quantitative Easing Announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 172-192.
    15. Detken, Carsten & Hartmann, Philipp, 2000. "The Euro and International Capital Markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(1), pages 53-94, April.
    16. Banti, C, 2015. "Illiquidity in the stock and FX markets: an investigation of their cross-market dynamics," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 15626, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    17. Jakree Koosakul & Ilhyock Shim, 2017. "The beneficial aspect of FX volatility for market liquidity," BIS Working Papers 629, Bank for International Settlements.
    18. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Giampaolo Galli & Alberto Giovannini, 1996. "Introduction to "The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets"," NBER Chapters, in: The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets, pages 1-18, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. King, Michael R. & Osler, Carol L. & Rime, Dagfinn, 2013. "The market microstructure approach to foreign exchange: Looking back and looking forward," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 95-119.
    20. Geyikçi, Utku Bora & Özyıldırım, Süheyla, 2023. "Deviations from covered interest parity in the emerging markets after the global financial crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Colombia; mercado cambiario; liquidez; resiliencia; Colombia; foreign exchange market; liquidity; resilience;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1185. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.