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Llegadas de turistas internacionales a Colombia durante 2001-2017: evolución, características y determinantes

Author

Listed:
  • Camila Agudelo-Rivera

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Nicolas Fajardo-Acosta
  • Camilo González-Sabogal

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Enrique Montes-Uribe

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Norberto Rodríguez-Niño

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

Abstract

En este documento se estudian las llegadas de turistas internacionales a Colombia. Se identifica el origen geográfico de los viajeros y se dividen en dos subgrupos: los colombianos residentes en el exterior y los extranjeros. Se encuentra que los arribos de turistas internacionales: i) se concentran en 20 países emisores, ii) se componen, mayoritariamente, de colombianos no residentes, iii) se aceleraron en los últimos 5 años debido al incremento notable de las llegadas de extranjeros, y iv) explican la dinámica de los ingresos externos por viajes. Se estiman ecuaciones de gravedad con modelos de datos panel para el periodo 2001- 2017, hallando que las llegadas dependen positivamente del tamaño de la economía de los países emisores de turistas, del volumen de comercio, de la población colombiana residente en el exterior y de la infraestructura en los establecimientos de alojamiento, y negativamente de la distancia hasta Colombia y de la percepción de inseguridad interna. Además, se encuentra que los determinantes de las llegadas son diferentes entre los colombianos no residentes y los extranjeros. **** ABSTRACT: We study international tourist arrivals to Colombia. We identify the travelers’ geographical origin and divide them into two subgroups: Colombians living abroad and foreigners. We find that the inflows of international tourists: i) are concentrated in 20 emitting countries, ii) are composed mostly of Colombians living abroad, iii) accelerated in the last 5 years due to the remarkable increase in foreigners’ arrivals, and iv) explain the evolution of international travel receipts. We estimate gravity equations using panel data models for the period 2001-2017, finding that arrivals depend positively on the size of the economy of emitting countries, the volume of trade, the Colombian population living abroad and the infrastructure in hotels and accommodation establishments, and negatively on the distance to Colombia and on the perception of internal security. In addition, we find that the determinants of arrivals are different for Colombians living abroad and foreigners.

Suggested Citation

  • Camila Agudelo-Rivera & Nicolas Fajardo-Acosta & Camilo González-Sabogal & Enrique Montes-Uribe & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2019. "Llegadas de turistas internacionales a Colombia durante 2001-2017: evolución, características y determinantes," Borradores de Economia 1064, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1064
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1064
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turismo internacional; llegadas de turistas; modelos panel; ecuaciones de gravedad; Colombia; International tourism; tourist’s arrivals; data panel models; gravity model. Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • Z32 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Tourism and Development

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