IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2310.14881.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Topological Portfolio Selection and Optimization

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanrong Wang
  • Antonio Briola
  • Tomaso Aste

Abstract

Modern portfolio optimization is centered around creating a low-risk portfolio with extensive asset diversification. Following the seminal work of Markowitz, optimal asset allocation can be computed using a constrained optimization model based on empirical covariance. However, covariance is typically estimated from historical lookback observations, and it is prone to noise and may inadequately represent future market behavior. As a remedy, information filtering networks from network science can be used to mitigate the noise in empirical covariance estimation, and therefore, can bring added value to the portfolio construction process. In this paper, we propose the use of the Statistically Robust Information Filtering Network (SR-IFN) which leverages the bootstrapping techniques to eliminate unnecessary edges during the network formation and enhances the network's noise reduction capability further. We apply SR-IFN to index component stock pools in the US, UK, and China to assess its effectiveness. The SR-IFN network is partially disconnected with isolated nodes representing lesser-correlated assets, facilitating the selection of peripheral, diversified and higher-performing portfolios. Further optimization of performance can be achieved by inversely proportioning asset weights to their centrality based on the resultant network.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanrong Wang & Antonio Briola & Tomaso Aste, 2023. "Topological Portfolio Selection and Optimization," Papers 2310.14881, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2310.14881
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.14881
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ledoit, Olivier & Wolf, Michael, 2004. "A well-conditioned estimator for large-dimensional covariance matrices," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 365-411, February.
    2. Pier Francesco Procacci & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Portfolio Optimization with Sparse Multivariate Modelling," Papers 2103.15232, arXiv.org.
    3. Barfuss, Wolfram & Massara, Guido Previde & Di Matteo, T. & Aste, Tomaso, 2016. "Parsimonious modeling with information filtering networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68860, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Tomaso Aste & T. Di Matteo, 2017. "Sparse Causality Network Retrieval from Short Time Series," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-13, November.
    5. Antonio Briola & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Dependency structures in cryptocurrency market from high to low frequency," Papers 2206.03386, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    6. Danial Saef & Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Regime-based Implied Stochastic Volatility Model for Crypto Option Pricing," Papers 2208.12614, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yuanrong & Aste, Tomaso, 2023. "Dynamic portfolio optimization with inverse covariance clustering," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117701, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Inverse Covariance Clustering," Papers 2112.15499, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    3. Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Sparsification and Filtering for Spatial-temporal GNN in Multivariate Time-series," Papers 2203.03991, arXiv.org.
    4. Pier Francesco Procacci & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Portfolio Optimization with Sparse Multivariate Modelling," Papers 2103.15232, arXiv.org.
    5. Isobel Seabrook & Fabio Caccioli & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "An Information Filtering approach to stress testing: an application to FTSE markets," Papers 2106.08778, arXiv.org.
    6. Pier Francesco Procacci & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Portfolio optimization with sparse multivariate modeling," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(6), pages 445-465, October.
    7. Danial Saef & Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Regime-based Implied Stochastic Volatility Model for Crypto Option Pricing," Papers 2208.12614, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    8. Lu, Ya-Nan & Li, Sai-Ping & Zhong, Li-Xin & Jiang, Xiong-Fei & Ren, Fei, 2018. "A clustering-based portfolio strategy incorporating momentum effect and market trend prediction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1-15.
    9. Vidal-Tomás, David & Briola, Antonio & Aste, Tomaso, 2023. "FTX's downfall and Binance's consolidation: the fragility of centralised digital finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119902, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Hannart, Alexis & Naveau, Philippe, 2014. "Estimating high dimensional covariance matrices: A new look at the Gaussian conjugate framework," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 149-162.
    11. Candelon, B. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2012. "Sampling error and double shrinkage estimation of minimum variance portfolios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 511-527.
    12. Avagyan, Vahe & Nogales, Francisco J., 2015. "D-trace Precision Matrix Estimation Using Adaptive Lasso Penalties," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 21775, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    13. Mishra, Anil V., 2016. "Foreign bias in Australian-domiciled mutual fund holdings," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-123.
    14. McDowell, Shaun, 2018. "An empirical evaluation of estimation error reduction strategies applied to international diversification," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-13.
    15. Olivier Ledoit & Michael Wolf, 2003. "Honey, I shrunk the sample covariance matrix," Economics Working Papers 691, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    16. Tobias Wand & Oliver Kamps & Hiroshi Iyetomi, 2024. "Causal Hierarchy in the Financial Market Network -- Uncovered by the Helmholtz-Hodge-Kodaira Decomposition," Papers 2408.12839, arXiv.org.
    17. Konno, Yoshihiko, 2009. "Shrinkage estimators for large covariance matrices in multivariate real and complex normal distributions under an invariant quadratic loss," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(10), pages 2237-2253, November.
    18. Yuan, Ke-Hai & Chan, Wai, 2008. "Structural equation modeling with near singular covariance matrices," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(10), pages 4842-4858, June.
    19. Jian Zhang & Li Su, 2015. "Temporal Autocorrelation-Based Beamforming With MEG Neuroimaging Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(512), pages 1375-1388, December.
    20. MohammadAmin Fazli & Parsa Alian & Ali Owfi & Erfan Loghmani, 2021. "RPS: Portfolio Asset Selection using Graph based Representation Learning," Papers 2111.15634, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2310.14881. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.