IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2309.16047.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Portfolio Choice In Dynamic Thin Markets: Merton Meets Cournot

Author

Listed:
  • Puru Gupta
  • Saul D. Jacka

Abstract

We consider an augmented version of Merton's portfolio choice problem, where trading by large investors influences the price of underlying financial asset leading to strategic interaction among investors, with investors deciding their trading rates independently and simultaneously at each instant, in the spirit of dynamic Cournot competition, modelled here as a non-zero sum singular stochastic differential game. We establish an equivalence result for the value functions of an investor's best-response problem, which is a singular stochastic optimal control problem, and an auxiliary classical stochastic optimal control problem by exploiting the invariance of the value functions with respect to a diffeomorphic integral flow associated with the drift coefficient of the best-response problem. Under certain regularity conditions, we show that the optimal trajectories of the two control problems coincide, which permits analytical characterization of Markov-Nash equilibrium portfolios. For the special case when asset price volatility is constant, we show that the unique Nash equilibrium is deterministic, and provide a closed-form solution which illuminates the role of imperfect competition in explaining the excessive trade puzzle.

Suggested Citation

  • Puru Gupta & Saul D. Jacka, 2023. "Portfolio Choice In Dynamic Thin Markets: Merton Meets Cournot," Papers 2309.16047, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2309.16047
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.16047
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hasbrouck, Joel, 1991. "Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 179-207, March.
    2. H. Dharma Kwon & Hongzhong Zhang, 2015. "Game of Singular Stochastic Control and Strategic Exit," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(4), pages 869-887, October.
    3. Nicolae Gârleanu & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2013. "Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(6), pages 2309-2340, December.
    4. Martins-da-Rocha, V. Filipe & Riedel, Frank, 2010. "On equilibrium prices in continuous time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 1086-1112, May.
    5. Pierre Collin‐Dufresne & Vyacheslav Fos, 2016. "Insider Trading, Stochastic Liquidity, and Equilibrium Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84(4), pages 1441-1475, July.
    6. Andrew Ang & Dimitris Papanikolaou & Mark M. Westerfield, 2014. "Portfolio Choice with Illiquid Assets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(11), pages 2737-2761, November.
    7. Dianetti, Jodi & Ferrari, Giorgio & Fischer, Markus & Nendel, Max, 2022. "A Unifying Framework for Submodular Mean Field Games," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 661, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    8. David B. Brown & James E. Smith, 2011. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs: Heuristics and Dual Bounds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(10), pages 1752-1770, October.
    9. Weretka, Marek, 2011. "Endogenous market power," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(6), pages 2281-2306.
    10. Kohlberg, Elon & Mertens, Jean-Francois, 1986. "On the Strategic Stability of Equilibria," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(5), pages 1003-1037, September.
    11. Xiao Chen & Jin Hyuk Choi & Kasper Larsen & Duane J. Seppi, 2022. "Learning about latent dynamic trading demand $$^*$$ ∗," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 16, number 1, December.
    12. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2006. "Institutional Investors and Stock Market Volatility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(2), pages 461-504.
    13. Dimitri Vayanos, 1999. "Strategic Trading and Welfare in a Dynamic Market," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 66(2), pages 219-254.
    14. Albert S Kyle & Anna A Obizhaeva & Yajun Wang, 2018. "Smooth Trading with Overconfidence and Market Power," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(1), pages 611-662.
    15. Pierre Collin‐Dufresne & Vyacheslav Fos, 2016. "Insider Trading, Stochastic Liquidity, and Equilibrium Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1441-1475, July.
    16. Kerry Back & C. Henry Cao & Gregory A. Willard, 2000. "Imperfect Competition among Informed Traders," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(5), pages 2117-2155, October.
    17. Obizhaeva, Anna A. & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-32.
    18. Andrés Carvajal & Marek Weretka, 2012. "No-arbitrage, state prices and trade in thin financial markets," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 50(1), pages 223-268, May.
    19. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    20. J. Hugonnier & S. Malamud & E. Trubowitz, 2012. "Endogenous Completeness of Diffusion Driven Equilibrium Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(3), pages 1249-1270, May.
    21. Bruce Ian Carlin & Miguel Sousa Lobo & S. Viswanathan, 2007. "Episodic Liquidity Crises: Cooperative and Predatory Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(5), pages 2235-2274, October.
    22. Back, Kerry, 1992. "Insider Trading in Continuous Time," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(3), pages 387-409.
    23. Cuoco, Domenico & Cvitanic, Jaksa, 1998. "Optimal consumption choices for a 'large' investor," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 401-436, March.
    24. Bruno Bouchard & G Loeper & Y Zou, 2016. "Almost-sure hedging with permanent price impact," Post-Print hal-01133223, HAL.
    25. Kenneth R. French, 2008. "Presidential Address: The Cost of Active Investing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1537-1573, August.
    26. Alexander Schied & Tao Zhang, 2019. "A Market Impact Game Under Transient Price Impact," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 102-121, February.
    27. Longstaff, Francis A, 2001. "Optimal Portfolio Choice and the Valuation of Illiquid Securities," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(2), pages 407-431.
    28. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1986. "Large Shareholders and Corporate Control," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(3), pages 461-488, June.
    29. Yan Wang & Lei Wang & Kok Lay Teo, 2018. "Necessary and Sufficient Optimality Conditions for Regular–Singular Stochastic Differential Games with Asymmetric Information," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(2), pages 501-532, November.
    30. Jim Gatheral, 2010. "No-dynamic-arbitrage and market impact," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(7), pages 749-759.
    31. Moallemi, Ciamac C. & Sağlam, Mehmet, 2017. "Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Linear Rebalancing Rules," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(3), pages 1247-1278, June.
    32. Marzena Rostek & Marek Weretka, 2015. "Dynamic Thin Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(10), pages 2946-2992.
    33. Robert M. Anderson & Roberto C. Raimondo, 2008. "Equilibrium in Continuous-Time Financial Markets: Endogenously Dynamically Complete Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(4), pages 841-907, July.
    34. Cao, Haoyang & Guo, Xin, 2022. "MFGs for partially reversible investment," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 995-1014.
    35. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    36. Youngsoo Kim & H. Dharma Kwon, 2022. "Investment in the common good: free rider effect and the stability of mixed strategy equilibria," Papers 2208.11217, arXiv.org.
    37. Dockner,Engelbert J. & Jorgensen,Steffen & Long,Ngo Van & Sorger,Gerhard, 2000. "Differential Games in Economics and Management Science," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521637329, September.
    38. Bertsimas, Dimitris & Lo, Andrew W., 1998. "Optimal control of execution costs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 1-50, April.
    39. Terrance Odean, 1999. "Do Investors Trade Too Much?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(5), pages 1279-1298, December.
    40. Alessandro Micheli & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Eyal Neuman, 2021. "Closed-Loop Nash Competition for Liquidity," Papers 2112.02961, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    41. Robert F. Stambaugh, 2014. "Presidential Address: Investment Noise and Trends," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(4), pages 1415-1453, August.
    42. Ehling, Paul & Heyerdahl-Larsen, Christian, 2015. "Complete and incomplete financial markets in multi-good economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 438-462.
    43. Ibrahim Ekren & Johannes Muhle‐Karbe, 2019. "Portfolio choice with small temporary and transient price impact," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 1066-1115, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dimitri Vayanos & Jiang Wang, 2012. "Market Liquidity -- Theory and Empirical Evidence," NBER Working Papers 18251, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. van Kervel, Vincent & Kwan, Amy & Westerholm, P. Joakim, 2023. "Order splitting and interacting with a counterparty," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Vayanos, Dimitri & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Market Liquidity—Theory and Empirical Evidence ," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1289-1361, Elsevier.
    4. Peress, Joel & Schmidt, Daniel, 2021. "Noise traders incarnate: Describing a realistic noise trading process," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    5. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2010. "Limit Order Books," Papers 1012.0349, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    6. Choi, Jin Hyuk & Larsen, Kasper & Seppi, Duane J., 2019. "Information and trading targets in a dynamic market equilibrium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 22-49.
    7. Masamitsu Ohnishi & Makoto Shimoshimizu, 2022. "Optimal Pair–Trade Execution with Generalized Cross–Impact," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(2), pages 253-289, June.
    8. Peter Bank & Dmitry Kramkov, 2015. "A model for a large investor trading at market indifference prices. I: Single-period case," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 449-472, April.
    9. Sadoghi, Amirhossein & Vecer, Jan, 2022. "Optimal liquidation problem in illiquid markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(3), pages 1050-1066.
    10. Amirhossein Sadoghi & Jan Vecer, 2022. "Optimal liquidation problem in illiquid markets," Post-Print hal-03696768, HAL.
    11. Pereira, João Pedro & Zhang, Harold H., 2010. "Stock Returns and the Volatility of Liquidity," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 1077-1110, August.
    12. Michail Anthropelos & Constantinos Kardaras & Georgios Vichos, 2020. "Effective risk aversion in thin risk‐sharing markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1565-1590, October.
    13. Xiao Chen & Jin Hyuk Choi & Kasper Larsen & Duane J. Seppi, 2023. "Price impact in Nash equilibria," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 305-340, April.
    14. Dimitri Vayanos, 2001. "Strategic Trading in a Dynamic Noisy Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 131-171, February.
    15. Yan, Tingjin & Han, Jinhui & Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung, 2023. "Dynamic asset-liability management with frictions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 57-83.
    16. Beomsoo Park & Benjamin Van Roy, 2015. "Adaptive Execution: Exploration and Learning of Price Impact," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 63(5), pages 1058-1076, October.
    17. Masamitsu Ohnishi & Makoto Shimoshimizu, 2024. "Trade execution games in a Markovian environment," Papers 2405.07184, arXiv.org.
    18. Oehmke, Martin, 2014. "Liquidating illiquid collateral," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 183-210.
    19. Han, Jinhui & Li, Xiaolong & Ma, Guiyuan & Kennedy, Adrian Patrick, 2023. "Strategic trading with information acquisition and long-memory stochastic liquidity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 480-495.
    20. Reda Chhaibi & Ibrahim Ekren & Eunjung Noh & Lu Vy, 2022. "A unified approach to informed trading via Monge-Kantorovich duality," Papers 2210.17384, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2309.16047. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.