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Stock Returns and the Volatility of Liquidity

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  • Pereira, João Pedro
  • Zhang, Harold H.

Abstract

This paper offers a rational explanation for the puzzling empirical fact that stock returns decrease with an increase in the volatility of liquidity. We model liquidity as a stochastic price impact process and define the liquidity premium as the additional return necessary to compensate a multiperiod investor for the adverse price impact of trading. The model demonstrates that a fully rational, utility maximizing, risk-averse investor can take advantage of time-varying liquidity by adapting his trades to the state of liquidity. We provide new empirical evidence supportive of the model.

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  • Pereira, João Pedro & Zhang, Harold H., 2010. "Stock Returns and the Volatility of Liquidity," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 1077-1110, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:45:y:2010:i:04:p:1077-1110_00
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    5. Turan G. Bali & Lin Peng & Yannan Shen & Yi Tang, 2013. "Liquidity Shocks and Stock Market Reactions," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1304, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    6. Benjamin M. Blau & Ryan J. Whitby, 2015. "The Volatility of Bid-Ask Spreads," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 44(4), pages 851-874, October.
    7. H. J. Turtle & Kainan Wang, 2017. "The Value In Fundamental Accounting Information," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 40(1), pages 113-140, March.
    8. Stereńczak, Szymon, 2020. "Stock liquidity premium with stochastic price impact and exogenous trading strategy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & Huynh, Toan L.D. & He, Qiubei, 2022. "Price reversal and heterogeneous belief," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 104-119.
    10. Barinov, Alexander, 2015. "Why does higher variability of trading activity predict lower expected returns?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 457-470.
    11. Jody Grewal & Clarissa Hauptmann & George Serafeim, 2021. "Material Sustainability Information and Stock Price Informativeness," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 513-544, July.
    12. Chen, Xi & Wang, Junbo & Wu, Chunchi & Wu, Di, 2024. "Extreme illiquidity and cross-sectional corporate bond returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    13. Qi Deng & Zhong-guo Zhou, 2023. "Liquidity Premium, Liquidity-Adjusted Return and Volatility, and Extreme Liquidity," Papers 2306.15807, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    14. Sergey Isaenko & Rui Zhong, 2015. "Liquidity premium in the presence of stock market crises and background risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 79-90, January.
    15. Ince, Baris, 2022. "Liquidity components: Commonality in liquidity, underreaction, and equity returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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    18. Leirvik, Thomas, 2022. "Cryptocurrency returns and the volatility of liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    19. Husaini Said & Evangelos Giouvris, 2019. "Oil, the Baltic Dry index, market (il)liquidity and business cycles: evidence from net oil-exporting/oil-importing countries," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(4), pages 349-416, December.
    20. Mohammad I. Jizi & Robert Dixon, 2017. "Are Risk Management Disclosures Informative or Tautological? Evidence from the U.S. Banking Sector," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(1), pages 7-30, March.

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