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Improved Financial Forecasting via Quantum Machine Learning

Author

Listed:
  • Sohum Thakkar

    (QC Ware Corp)

  • Skander Kazdaghli

    (QC Ware Corp)

  • Natansh Mathur

    (QC Ware Corp
    IRIF - Universit\'e Paris Cit\'e and CNRS)

  • Iordanis Kerenidis

    (QC Ware Corp
    IRIF - Universit\'e Paris Cit\'e and CNRS)

  • Andr'e J. Ferreira-Martins

    (Ita\'u Unibanco)

  • Samurai Brito

    (Ita\'u Unibanco)

Abstract

Quantum algorithms have the potential to enhance machine learning across a variety of domains and applications. In this work, we show how quantum machine learning can be used to improve financial forecasting. First, we use classical and quantum Determinantal Point Processes to enhance Random Forest models for churn prediction, improving precision by almost 6%. Second, we design quantum neural network architectures with orthogonal and compound layers for credit risk assessment, which match classical performance with significantly fewer parameters. Our results demonstrate that leveraging quantum ideas can effectively enhance the performance of machine learning, both today as quantum-inspired classical ML solutions, and even more in the future, with the advent of better quantum hardware.

Suggested Citation

  • Sohum Thakkar & Skander Kazdaghli & Natansh Mathur & Iordanis Kerenidis & Andr'e J. Ferreira-Martins & Samurai Brito, 2023. "Improved Financial Forecasting via Quantum Machine Learning," Papers 2306.12965, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2306.12965
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.12965
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. van Buuren, Stef & Groothuis-Oudshoorn, Karin, 2011. "mice: Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 45(i03).
    2. Iordanis Kerenidis & Anupam Prakash & D'aniel Szil'agyi, 2019. "Quantum Algorithms for Portfolio Optimization," Papers 1908.08040, arXiv.org.
    3. Dylan Herman & Cody Googin & Xiaoyuan Liu & Alexey Galda & Ilya Safro & Yue Sun & Marco Pistoia & Yuri Alexeev, 2022. "A Survey of Quantum Computing for Finance," Papers 2201.02773, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kamila Zaman & Alberto Marchisio & Muhammad Kashif & Muhammad Shafique, 2024. "PO-QA: A Framework for Portfolio Optimization using Quantum Algorithms," Papers 2407.19857, arXiv.org.

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