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Common Idiosyncratic Quantile Risk

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  • Jozef Barunik
  • Matej Nevrla

Abstract

We identify a new type of risk that is characterised by commonalities in the quantiles of the cross-sectional distribution of asset returns. Our newly proposed quantile risk factors are associated with a quantile-specific risk premia and provide new insights into how upside and downside risks are priced by investors. In contrast to the previous literature, we recover the common structure in cross-sectional quantiles without making confounding assumptions or aggregating potentially non-linear information. We discuss how the new quantile-based risk factors differ from popular volatility and downside risk factors, and we identify heterogeneous implications of quantile-dependent risks for asset prices. Quantile factors also have predictive power for aggregate market returns. We explore potential mechanisms that give rise to these asset pricing facts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jozef Barunik & Matej Nevrla, 2022. "Common Idiosyncratic Quantile Risk," Papers 2208.14267, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2208.14267
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