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Least squares Monte Carlo methods in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models

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  • Henrique Guerreiro
  • Jo~ao Guerra

Abstract

In stochastic Volterra rough volatility models, the volatility follows a truncated Brownian semi-stationary process with stochastic vol-of-vol. Recently, efficient VIX pricing Monte Carlo methods have been proposed for the case where the vol-of-vol is Markovian and independent of the volatility. Following recent empirical data, we discuss the VIX option pricing problem for a generalized framework of these models, where the vol-of-vol may depend on the volatility and/or not be Markovian. In such a setting, the aforementioned Monte Carlo methods are not valid. Moreover, the classical least squares Monte Carlo faces exponentially increasing complexity with the number of grid time steps, whilst the nested Monte Carlo method requires a prohibitive number of simulations. By exploring the infinite dimensional Markovian representation of these models, we device a scalable least squares Monte Carlo for VIX option pricing. We apply our method firstly under the independence assumption for benchmarks, and then to the generalized framework. We also discuss the rough vol-of-vol setting, where Markovianity of the vol-of-vol is not present. We present simulations and benchmarks to establish the efficiency of our method.

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  • Henrique Guerreiro & Jo~ao Guerra, 2021. "Least squares Monte Carlo methods in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models," Papers 2105.04511, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2105.04511
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-147.
    2. J'er^ome Lelong, 2019. "Pricing path-dependent Bermudan options using Wiener chaos expansion: an embarrassingly parallel approach," Papers 1901.05672, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    3. Ryan McCrickerd & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2018. "Turbocharging Monte Carlo pricing for the rough Bergomi model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(11), pages 1877-1886, November.
    4. Henry Stone, 2018. "Calibrating rough volatility models: a convolutional neural network approach," Papers 1812.05315, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    5. Ryan McCrickerd & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Turbocharging Monte Carlo pricing for the rough Bergomi model," Papers 1708.02563, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    6. Jérôme Lelong, 2020. "Pricing path-dependent Bermudan options using Wiener chaos expansion: an embarrassingly parallel approach," Post-Print hal-01983115, HAL.
    7. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt43n1k4jb, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    8. Blanka Horvath & Aitor Muguruza & Mehdi Tomas, 2019. "Deep Learning Volatility," Papers 1901.09647, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
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    Cited by:

    1. Henrique Guerreiro & Jo~ao Guerra, 2022. "VIX pricing in the rBergomi model under a regime switching change of measure," Papers 2201.10391, arXiv.org.

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