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Mean Field Contest with Singularity

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  • Marcel Nutz
  • Yuchong Zhang

Abstract

We formulate a mean field game where each player stops a privately observed Brownian motion with absorption. Players are ranked according to their level of stopping and rewarded as a function of their relative rank. There is a unique mean field equilibrium and it is shown to be the limit of associated $n$-player games. Conversely, the mean field strategy induces $n$-player $\varepsilon$-Nash equilibria for any continuous reward function -- but not for discontinuous ones. In a second part, we study the problem of a principal who can choose how to distribute a reward budget over the ranks and aims to maximize the performance of the median player. The optimal reward design (contract) is found in closed form, complementing the merely partial results available in the $n$-player case. We then analyze the quality of the mean field design when used as a proxy for the optimizer in the $n$-player game. Surprisingly, the quality deteriorates dramatically as $n$ grows. We explain this with an asymptotic singularity in the induced $n$-player equilibrium distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2021. "Mean Field Contest with Singularity," Papers 2103.04219, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.04219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Han Feng & David Hobson, 2015. "Gambling in contests modelled with diffusions," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 38(1), pages 21-37, April.
    2. Han Feng & David Hobson, 2014. "Gambling in contests with random initial law," Papers 1405.7801, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
    3. Seel, Christian & Strack, Philipp, 2013. "Gambling in contests," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(5), pages 2033-2048.
    4. Green, Jerry R & Stokey, Nancy L, 1983. "A Comparison of Tournaments and Contracts," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(3), pages 349-364, June.
    5. Rene Carmona & Francois Delarue & Daniel Lacker, 2016. "Mean field games of timing and models for bank runs," Papers 1606.03709, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    6. Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2021. "Reward Design in Risk-Taking Contests," Papers 2102.03417, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    7. Seel, Christian, 2015. "Gambling in contests with heterogeneous loss constraints," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 154-157.
    8. Han Feng & David Hobson, 2016. "Gambling In Contests With Regret," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 674-695, July.
    9. Dawei Fang & Thomas Noe & Philipp Strack, 2020. "Turning Up the Heat: The Discouraging Effect of Competition in Contests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(5), pages 1940-1975.
    10. Romuald Elie & Thibaut Mastrolia & Dylan Possamaï, 2019. "A Tale of a Principal and Many, Many Agents," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(2), pages 440-467, May.
    11. Sun, Yeneng, 2006. "The exact law of large numbers via Fubini extension and characterization of insurable risks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 31-69, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark Whitmeyer, 2021. "Submission Fees in Risk-Taking Contests," Papers 2108.13506, arXiv.org.
    2. Whitmeyer, Mark, 2023. "Submission costs in risk-taking contests," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 101-112.

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