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Trade-offs and synergies in managing coastal flood risk: A case study for New York City

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  • Robert L. Ceres
  • Chris E. Forest
  • Klaus Keller

Abstract

Decisions on how to manage future flood risks are frequently informed by both sophisticated and computationally expensive models. This complexity often limits the representation of uncertainties and the consideration of strategies. Here, we use an intermediate complexity model framework that enables us to analyze a rich set of strategies, objectives, and uncertainties. We find that allowing for more combinations of risk mitigation strategies can expand the solution set, help explain synergies and trade-offs, and point to strategies that can improve outcomes.

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  • Robert L. Ceres & Chris E. Forest & Klaus Keller, 2020. "Trade-offs and synergies in managing coastal flood risk: A case study for New York City," Papers 2010.12043, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2010.12043
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert L. Ceres & Chris E. Forest & Klaus Keller, 2017. "Understanding the detectability of potential changes to the 100-year peak storm surge," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 221-235, November.
    2. Ning Lin & Kerry Emanuel & Michael Oppenheimer & Erik Vanmarcke, 2012. "Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 462-467, June.
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