IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2007.00705.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Performance analysis of Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model in catastrophic events: COVID-19 case study

Author

Listed:
  • Grzegorz Krzy.zanowski
  • Andr'es Sosa

Abstract

In this paper we continue the research of our recent interest rate tree model called Zero Black-Derman-Toy (ZBDT) model, which includes the possibility of a jump at each step to a practically zero interest rate. This approach allows to better match to risk of financial slowdown caused by catastrophic events. We present how to valuate a wide range of financial derivatives for such a model. The classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) model and novel ZBDT model are described and analogies in their calibration methodology are established. Finally two cases of applications of the novel ZBDT model are introduced. The first of them is the hypothetical case of an S-shape term structure and decreasing volatility of yields. The second case is an application of the ZBDT model in the structure of United States sovereign bonds in the current $2020$ economic slowdown caused by the Coronavirus pandemic. The objective of this study is to understand the differences presented by the valuation in both models for different derivatives.

Suggested Citation

  • Grzegorz Krzy.zanowski & Andr'es Sosa, 2020. "Performance analysis of Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model in catastrophic events: COVID-19 case study," Papers 2007.00705, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2007.00705
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.00705
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Phelim Boyle & Ken Seng Tan & Weidong Tian, 2001. "Calibrating the Black-Derman-Toy model: some theoretical results," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 27-48.
    2. Grzegorz Krzy.zanowski & Marcin Magdziarz & {L}ukasz P{l}ociniczak, 2019. "A weighted finite difference method for subdiffusive Black Scholes Model," Papers 1907.00297, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Tian, Yingxu & Zhang, Haoyan, 2018. "Skew CIR process, conditional characteristic function, moments and bond pricing," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 329(C), pages 230-238.
    4. Grzegorz Krzy.zanowski & Marcin Magdziarz, 2020. "A computational weighted finite difference method for American and barrier options in subdiffusive Black-Scholes model," Papers 2003.05358, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    5. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1999. "Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 687-720.
    6. Ernst Eberlein & Christoph Gerhart & Zorana Grbac, 2018. "Multiple curve L\'evy forward price model allowing for negative interest rates," Papers 1805.02605, arXiv.org.
    7. Black, Fischer, 1976. "The pricing of commodity contracts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 167-179.
    8. Frunza, Marius-Cristian, 2015. "Introduction to the Theories and Varieties of Modern Crime in Financial Markets," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780128012215.
    9. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Grzegorz Krzy.zanowski & Ernesto Mordecki & Andr'es Sosa, 2019. "Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model," Papers 1908.04401, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    2. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    3. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    4. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, August.
    5. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    6. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    7. Das, Sanjiv Ranjan, 1998. "A direct discrete-time approach to Poisson-Gaussian bond option pricing in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 333-369, November.
    8. Tabesh, Hamid, 1987. "Hedging price risk to soybean producers with futures and options: a case study," ISU General Staff Papers 1987010108000010306, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Paul Glasserman & S. G. Kou, 2003. "The Term Structure of Simple Forward Rates with Jump Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 383-410, July.
    10. Samson Assefa, 2007. "Pricing Swaptions and Credit Default Swaptions in the Quadratic Gaussian Factor Model," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2007, January-A.
    11. Jarno Talponen, 2013. "Matching distributions: Asset pricing with density shape correction," Papers 1312.4227, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    12. Duarte, Jefferson & Longstaff, Francis A. & Yu, Fan, 2005. "Risk and Return in Fixed Income Arbitage: Nickels in Front of a Steamroller?," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt6zx6m7fp, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    13. Cristina Mihaela Onica & Nicoleta Ghilic & Maria-Gabriela Chirita, 2015. "News And Perspectives On Accounting And Econometric Modeling Cash Flow Indicators In The Companies Listed On The Capital Market," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 435-443.
    14. Liu, Xiaoran & Ronn, Ehud I., 2020. "Using the binomial model for the valuation of real options in computing optimal subsidies for Chinese renewable energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    15. Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios, 2005. "A Class of Markovian Models for the Term Structure of Interest Rates Under Jump-Diffusions," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 6, July-Dece.
    16. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    17. Richter, Martin & Sørensen, Carsten, 2002. "Stochastic Volatility and Seasonality in Commodity Futures and Options: The Case of Soybeans," Working Papers 2002-4, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
    18. Gibson, Rajna & Lhabitant, Francois-Serge & Talay, Denis, 2010. "Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Review of the Literature," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 5(1–2), pages 1-156, December.
    19. Alfeus, Mesias & Grasselli, Martino & Schlögl, Erik, 2020. "A consistent stochastic model of the term structure of interest rates for multiple tenors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. Tim Xiao, 2015. "Is the jump-diffusion model a good solution for credit risk modelling? The case of convertible bonds," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1), pages 1-25.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2007.00705. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.