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Time series copula models using d-vines and v-transforms

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  • Martin Bladt
  • Alexander J. McNeil

Abstract

An approach to modelling volatile financial return series using stationary d-vine copula processes combined with Lebesgue-measure-preserving transformations known as v-transforms is proposed. By developing a method of stochastically inverting v-transforms, models are constructed that can describe both stochastic volatility in the magnitude of price movements and serial correlation in their directions. In combination with parametric marginal distributions it is shown that these models can rival and sometimes outperform well-known models in the extended GARCH family.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Bladt & Alexander J. McNeil, 2020. "Time series copula models using d-vines and v-transforms," Papers 2006.11088, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2006.11088
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aas, Kjersti & Czado, Claudia & Frigessi, Arnoldo & Bakken, Henrik, 2009. "Pair-copula constructions of multiple dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 182-198, April.
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    16. Rubén Loaiza‐Maya & Michael S. Smith & Worapree Maneesoonthorn, 2018. "Time series copulas for heteroskedastic data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 332-354, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Stanley Smith, 2021. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Papers 2109.04718, arXiv.org.
    2. Kasa, Siva Rajesh & Rajan, Vaibhav, 2022. "Improved Inference of Gaussian Mixture Copula Model for Clustering and Reproducibility Analysis using Automatic Differentiation," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 67-97.
    3. Martin Bladt & Alexander J. McNeil, 2021. "Time series models with infinite-order partial copula dependence," Papers 2107.00960, arXiv.org.
    4. Smith, Michael Stanley, 2023. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 81-104.
    5. Bladt Martin & McNeil Alexander J., 2022. "Time series with infinite-order partial copula dependence," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 87-107, January.

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