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On Calibration Neural Networks for extracting implied information from American options

Author

Listed:
  • Shuaiqiang Liu
  • 'Alvaro Leitao
  • Anastasia Borovykh
  • Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Abstract

Extracting implied information, like volatility and/or dividend, from observed option prices is a challenging task when dealing with American options, because of the computational costs needed to solve the corresponding mathematical problem many thousands of times. We will employ a data-driven machine learning approach to estimate the Black-Scholes implied volatility and the dividend yield for American options in a fast and robust way. To determine the implied volatility, the inverse function is approximated by an artificial neural network on the computational domain of interest, which decouples the offline (training) and online (prediction) phases and thus eliminates the need for an iterative process. For the implied dividend yield, we formulate the inverse problem as a calibration problem and determine simultaneously the implied volatility and dividend yield. For this, a generic and robust calibration framework, the Calibration Neural Network (CaNN), is introduced to estimate multiple parameters. It is shown that machine learning can be used as an efficient numerical technique to extract implied information from American options.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuaiqiang Liu & 'Alvaro Leitao & Anastasia Borovykh & Cornelis W. Oosterlee, 2020. "On Calibration Neural Networks for extracting implied information from American options," Papers 2001.11786, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2001.11786
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
    2. Anna Battauz & Marzia De Donno & Alessandro Sbuelz, 2015. "Real Options and American Derivatives: The Double Continuation Region," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(5), pages 1094-1107, May.
    3. Martina Nardon & Paolo Pianca, 2012. "Extracting information on implied volatilities and discrete dividends from American options prices," Working Papers 2012_25, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    4. Johannes Ruf & Weiguan Wang, 2019. "Neural networks for option pricing and hedging: a literature review," Papers 1911.05620, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
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    6. Shuaiqiang Liu & Anastasia Borovykh & Lech A. Grzelak & Cornelis W. Oosterlee, 2019. "A neural network-based framework for financial model calibration," Papers 1904.10523, arXiv.org.
    7. Peter Carr & Robert Jarrow & Ravi Myneni, 2008. "Alternative Characterizations Of American Put Options," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 5, pages 85-103, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Vikranth Lokeshwar & Vikram Bhardawaj & Shashi Jain, 2019. "Neural network for pricing and universal static hedging of contingent claims," Papers 1911.11362, arXiv.org.
    9. Shuaiqiang Liu & Cornelis W. Oosterlee & Sander M. Bohte, 2019. "Pricing Options and Computing Implied Volatilities using Neural Networks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, February.
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    11. Andy Fodor & David L. Stowe & John D. Stowe, 2017. "Option Implied Dividends Predict Dividend Cuts: Evidence from the Financial Crisis," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5-6), pages 755-779, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Beatriz Salvador & Cornelis W. Oosterlee & Remco van der Meer, 2020. "Financial Option Valuation by Unsupervised Learning with Artificial Neural Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.

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