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Simple Inference on Functionals of Set-Identified Parameters Defined by Linear Moments

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  • JoonHwan Cho
  • Thomas M. Russell

Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach to obtain uniformly valid inference for linear functionals or scalar subvectors of a partially identified parameter defined by linear moment inequalities. The procedure amounts to bootstrapping the value functions of randomly perturbed linear programming problems, and does not require the researcher to grid over the parameter space. The low-level conditions for uniform validity rely on genericity results for linear programs. The unconventional perturbation approach produces a confidence set with a coverage probability of 1 over the identified set, but obtains exact coverage on an outer set, is valid under weak assumptions, and is computationally simple to implement.

Suggested Citation

  • JoonHwan Cho & Thomas M. Russell, 2018. "Simple Inference on Functionals of Set-Identified Parameters Defined by Linear Moments," Papers 1810.03180, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1810.03180
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hiroaki Kaido & Francesca Molinari & Jörg Stoye, 2019. "Confidence Intervals for Projections of Partially Identified Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1397-1432, July.
    2. Xiaohong Chen & Timothy Christensen & Keith O’Hara & Elie Tamer, 2016. "MCMC Confidence sets for Identified Sets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2037R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 2016.
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    6. Jorg Stoye, 2009. "More on Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1299-1315, July.
    7. Shi, Xiaoxia & Shum, Matthew, 2015. "Simple Two-Stage Inference For A Class Of Partially Identified Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(3), pages 493-520, June.
    8. Bugni, Federico A. & Canay, Ivan A. & Shi, Xiaoxia, 2015. "Specification tests for partially identified models defined by moment inequalities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 259-282.
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    11. Kasy Maximilian, 2019. "Uniformity and the Delta Method," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, January.
    12. Victor Chernozhukov & Han Hong & Elie Tamer, 2007. "Estimation and Confidence Regions for Parameter Sets in Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(5), pages 1243-1284, September.
    13. Gafarov, Bulat & Meier, Matthias & Montiel Olea, José Luis, 2018. "Delta-method inference for a class of set-identified SVARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 316-327.
    14. Sundaram,Rangarajan K., 1996. "A First Course in Optimization Theory," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521497701, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Isaiah Andrews & Jonathan Roth & Ariel Pakes, 2023. "Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(6), pages 2763-2791.
    2. Brendan Kline & Elie Tamer, 2024. "Counterfactual Analysis in Empirical Games," Papers 2410.12731, arXiv.org.
    3. Soonwoo Kwon & Jonathan Roth, 2024. "Testing Mechanisms," Papers 2404.11739, arXiv.org.

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