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Semiparametric inference on the fractal index of Gaussian and conditionally Gaussian time series data

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  • Mikkel Bennedsen

Abstract

We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian processes. Particular focus is on clarity and ease of implementation of the estimator and the associated asymptotic results, making it easy for practitioners to apply the methods. We additionally show how measurement noise in the observations will bias the estimator, potentially resulting in the practitioner erroneously finding evidence of fractal characteristics in a time series. We propose a new estimator which is robust to such noise and construct a formal hypothesis test for the presence of noise in the observations. Finally, the methods are illustrated on two empirical data sets; one of turbulent velocity flows and one of financial prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Mikkel Bennedsen, 2016. "Semiparametric inference on the fractal index of Gaussian and conditionally Gaussian time series data," Papers 1608.01895, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1608.01895
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2016. "Assessing Gamma kernels and BSS/LSS processes," CREATES Research Papers 2016-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Mikkel Bennedsen & Ulrich Hounyo & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "The Local Fractional Bootstrap," CREATES Research Papers 2016-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Mikkel Bennedsen, 2015. "Rough electricity: a new fractal multi-factor model of electricity spot prices," CREATES Research Papers 2015-42, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    4. Peter Hall & Wolfgang Härdle & Torsten Kleinow & Peter Schmidt, 2000. "Semiparametric Bootstrap Approach to Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals for the Hurst Coefficient," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 263-276, October.
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    16. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2015. "Hybrid scheme for Brownian semistationary processes," Papers 1507.03004, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    17. Kim, Young Min & Nordman, Daniel J., 2013. "A frequency domain bootstrap for Whittle estimation under long-range dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 405-420.
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    19. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2015. "Hybrid scheme for Brownian semistationary processes," CREATES Research Papers 2015-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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    1. Bennedsen, Mikkel, 2017. "A rough multi-factor model of electricity spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 301-313.
    2. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2017-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," Papers 1610.00332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.

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