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Temporal structure and gain/loss asymmetry for real and artificial stock indices

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  • Johannes Vitalis Siven
  • Jeffrey Todd Lins

Abstract

We demonstrate that the gain/loss asymmetry observed for stock indices vanishes if the temporal dependence structure is destroyed by scrambling the time series. We also show that an artificial index constructed by a simple average of a number of individual stocks display gain/loss asymmetry - this allows us to explicitly analyze the dependence between the index constituents. We consider mutual information and correlation based measures and show that the stock returns indeed have a higher degree of dependence in times of market downturns than upturns.

Suggested Citation

  • Johannes Vitalis Siven & Jeffrey Todd Lins, 2009. "Temporal structure and gain/loss asymmetry for real and artificial stock indices," Papers 0907.0554, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0907.0554
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/0907.0554
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Johannes Vitalis Siven & Jeffrey Todd Lins & Jonas Lundbek Hansen, 2008. "A multiscale view on inverse statistics and gain/loss asymmetry in financial time series," Papers 0811.3122, arXiv.org.
    2. Ingve Simonsen & Mogens H. Jensen & Anders Johansen, 2002. "Optimal Investment Horizons," Papers cond-mat/0202352, arXiv.org.
    3. Raul Donangelo & Mogens H. Jensen & Ingve Simonsen & Kim Sneppen, 2006. "Synchronization Model for Stock Market Asymmetry," Papers physics/0604137, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2006.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Niu, Hongli & Wang, Jun & Lu, Yunfan, 2016. "Fluctuation behaviors of financial return volatility duration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 448(C), pages 30-40.
    3. Rodríguez-Martínez, C.M. & Coronel-Brizio, H.F. & Hernández-Montoya, A.R., 2021. "A multi-scale symmetry analysis of uninterrupted trends returns in daily financial indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    4. C. M. Rodr'iguez-Mart'inez & H. F. Coronel-Brizio & A. R. Hern'andez-Montoya, 2019. "A multi-scale symmetry analysis of uninterrupted trends returns of daily financial indices," Papers 1908.11204, arXiv.org.

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