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Efectos intencionados y no intencionados de transferencias monetarias no condicionadas a los adultos mayores: El caso de la Renta Dignidad

Author

Listed:
  • Werner L. Hernani-Limarino

    (Fundación ARU)

  • Gary Mena

    (Fundación ARU)

Abstract

Este documento presenta una evaluación de impacto cuasi-experimental de los efectos intencionados y no intencionados de la Renta Dignidad, una pensión universal no contributiva de vejez en Bolivia, sobre variables de bienestar, ahorro, e inversión del hogar y resultados del mercado laboral de beneficiarios directos e indirectos. Aprovechamos un cambio en política exógeno que reduce la edad para ser beneficiario de 65 a 60 años para identificar los efectos causales del programa. Nuestra estrategia de identificación se base en los modelos de Diferencias-en-Diferencias y Cambios-en-Cambios para calcular no solo el efecto promedio sino también en cuantiles específicos. Encontramos que la pensión no contributiva tiene complejos efectos intencionados y no intencionados en diferentes resultados individuales y del hogar sobre diferentes tipos de individuos y hogares. En el caso de las mujeres encontramos que el programa ha incrementado en promedio el ingreso no laboral de sus hogares, lo que ha reducido su oferta laboral e ingreso laboral, lo que a su vez ha disminuido el ingreso laboral de sus hogares. En el caso de los hombres, la transferencia ha incrementado significativamente el ingreso no laboral de sus hogares, pero el incremento en el el ingreso del hogar per-cápita no es significativo.

Suggested Citation

  • Werner L. Hernani-Limarino & Gary Mena, 2015. "Efectos intencionados y no intencionados de transferencias monetarias no condicionadas a los adultos mayores: El caso de la Renta Dignidad," Working Papers 03/2015, Fundación Aru.
    • Handle: RePEc:aru:wpaper:201503
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. C de Chaisemartin & X D’HaultfŒuille, 2018. "Fuzzy Differences-in-Differences," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 999-1028.
    2. repec:aru:wpaper:201104 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    4. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2006. "Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Difference-in-Differences Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 431-497, March.
    5. Marianne Bertrand & Esther Duflo & Sendhil Mullainathan, 2004. "How Much Should We Trust Differences-In-Differences Estimates?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 249-275.
    6. de Chaisemartin, Clement & D'Haultfoeuille, Xavier, 2014. "Fuzzy Changes-in Changes," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 184, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    7. Yanez-Pagans, Monica, 2008. "Culture and Human Capital Investments: Evidence of an Unconditional Cash Transfer Program in Bolivia," IZA Discussion Papers 3678, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Evaluación de impacto; transferencias monetarias no condicionadas; sistema de protección social no contributiva; programas para adultos mayores; impact evaluation; unconditional cash transfers; non contributive social protection system; elderly programs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty

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