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Keep It Sophisticatedly Simple

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  • Zellner, Arnold

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  • Zellner, Arnold, 1999. "Keep It Sophisticatedly Simple," CUDARE Working Papers 198673, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ucbecw:198673
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.198673
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/198673/files/agecon-cal-865.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. McNees, Stephen K, 1986. "Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 4(1), pages 5-15, January.
    2. Christ, Carl F, 1975. "Judging the Performance of Econometric Models of the U.S. Economy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 16(1), pages 54-74, February.
    3. Zellner, Arnold & Min, Chung-ki, 1998. "Forecasting turning points in countries' output growth rates: A response to Milton Friedman," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 203-206, November.
    4. Richard Meese & Kenneth Rogoff, 1983. "The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?," NBER Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics, pages 67-112, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Carl Christ, 1951. "A Test of an Econometric Model for the United States, 1921-1947," NBER Chapters, in: Conference on Business Cycles, pages 35-130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Litterman, Robert B, 1986. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions-Five Years of Experience," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 4(1), pages 25-38, January.
    7. Arnold Zellner & Hang Ryu, 1998. "Alternative functional forms for production, cost and returns to scale functions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 101-127.
    8. Arnold Zellner, 1997. "Bayesian Analysis in Econometrics and Statistics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 825.
    9. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & McAleer, M., 1994. "Simplicity, scientific inference and econometric modelling," Discussion Paper 1994-56, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    10. Zellner, Arnold & Hong, Chansik & Min, Chung-ki, 1991. "Forecasting turning points in international output growth rates using Bayesian exponentially weighted autoregression, time-varying parameter, and pooling techniques," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1-2), pages 275-304.
    11. Zellner, Arnold & Moulton, Brent R., 1985. "Bayesian regression diagnostics with applications to international consumption and income data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1-2), pages 187-211.
    12. Litterman, Robert, 1986. "Forecasting with Bayesian vector autoregressions -- Five years of experience : Robert B. Litterman, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 4 (1986) 25-38," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 497-498.
    13. Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research, 1951. "Conference on Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number univ51-1, February.
    14. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1, February.
    15. Keuzenkamp, Hugo A. & McAleer, Michael, 1997. "The complexity of simplicity," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 553-561.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gamel Abdul-Nasser Salifu & Kwabena Asomanin Anaman, 2019. "A Political Economy Analysis of Income Diversification Activities of Rural Households in the Northern Region of Ghana," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(5), pages 10-34, September.
    2. Powell Mponela & Julius Manda & Michael Kinyua & Job Kihara, 2023. "Participatory Action Research, Social Networks, and Gender Influence Soil Fertility Management in Tanzania," Systemic Practice and Action Research, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 141-163, February.
    3. Kwabena Asomanin Anaman & Irene Susana Egyir, 2019. "Economic Shocks and the Growth of the Construction Industry in Ghana Over the 50-Year Period From 1968 to 2017," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, June.

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