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Adaptation to Climate Change: Land Use and Livestock Management Change in the U.S

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  • Mu, Jianhong H.
  • McCarl, Bruce A.

Abstract

This paper examines possible expected climate adaptations in a U.S. land use and livestock context. By using a Fractional Multinomial Logit model, we find that climate variables are affecting the allocation of land use by reducing crop land and increasing pasture land. Our projections indicate that more cropping land would be altered to livestock land under climate change. In addition, cattle stocking rate could increase by the end of this century along with more pasture land or less cattle inventory because of higher temperature.

Suggested Citation

  • Mu, Jianhong H. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2011. "Adaptation to Climate Change: Land Use and Livestock Management Change in the U.S," 2011 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2011, Corpus Christi, Texas 98708, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea11:98708
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.98708
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfram Schlenker & Michael J. Roberts, 2006. "Nonlinear Effects of Weather on Corn Yields," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 28(3), pages 391-398.
    2. Wolfram Schlenker & W. Michael Hanemann & Anthony C. Fisher, 2006. "The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis of Optimal Growing Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 88(1), pages 113-125, February.
    3. Rose, Steven K. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2008. "Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Stabilization and the Inevitability of Adaptation: Challenges for U.S. Agriculture," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-4.
    4. Wolfram Schlenker & W. Michael Hanemann & Anthony C. Fisher, 2005. "Will U.S. Agriculture Really Benefit from Global Warming? Accounting for Irrigation in the Hedonic Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 395-406, March.
    5. J. Roy Black & Stanley R. Thompson, 1978. "Some Evidence on Weather-Crop-Yield Interaction," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 60(3), pages 540-543.
    6. Beach, Robert H. & Thomson, Allison M. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2010. "Climate Change Impacts On Us Agriculture," 2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany 91393, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Ji Feng & Wang, Xin & Zhang, Ya Xiong & Kou, Qin, 2014. "The economic impact of carbon pricing with regulated electricity prices in China ‐ An application of a CGE approach," Conference papers 332548, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Rose, Steven K., 2014. "Integrated assessment modeling of climate change adaptation in forestry and pasture land use: A review," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 548-554.
    3. Yuquan Zhang & Amy Hagerman & Bruce McCarl, 2013. "Influence of climate factors on spatial distribution of Texas cattle breeds," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(2), pages 183-195, May.
    4. Attavanich, Witsanu & Rashford, Benjamin S. & Adams, Richard M. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2011. "Land Use, Climate Change and Ecosystem Services," MPRA Paper 83947, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.

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    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use; Livestock Production/Industries;
    All these keywords.

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