IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/332880.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Biome composition in deforestation deterrence and GHG emissions in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento
  • Horridge, Mark

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze the Brazilian commitments to COP21 under different scenarios, with a general equilibrium model of Brazil developed for land use change and GHG emissions analysis. The model is dynamic, inter-regional and bottom-up, and distinguishes in the present version 16 regions and 6 biomes. Our scenarios consider different hypothesis about future deforestation, including the halt of illegal deforestation, the restoration of 12Mha of forests, and substitution of deforestation in the Amazonia biome to deforestation in the Cerrado biome. Our analysis show that only the restoration of 12 Mha of forests would be enough to meet the country´s commitments in 2025 with no other extra GHG savings efforts, but not in 2030. Exchanging deforestation in the Amazonia biome for deforestation in the Cerrado biome would seriously compromise the accomplishment of the targets. We notice that the emissions in the general economy are increasing in Brazil, suggesting that other efforts will be made to meet the COP21 targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento & Horridge, Mark, 2017. "Biome composition in deforestation deterrence and GHG emissions in Brazil," Conference papers 332880, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332880
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332880/files/8739.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2011. "Ethanol Expansion and the Indirect Land Use Change in Brazil," Conference papers 332079, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira Filho & Luis Ribera & Mark Horridge, 2015. "Deforestation Control and Agricultural Supply in Brazil," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(2), pages 589-601.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ferreira, J.B. De Souza Filho & De Faria, V. Guidotti & Guedes Pinto, L.F. & Sparovek, G., 2018. "Economic and Social Impacts of Deforestation reduction in Brazil," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277084, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Glyn Wittwer, 2022. "Preparing a multi-country, sub-national CGE model: EuroTERM including Ukraine," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-334, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Diniz Oliveira, Thais & Costa Gurgel, Angelo & Tonry, Steve, 2019. "International market mechanisms under the Paris Agreement: A cooperation between Brazil and Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 397-409.
    4. Gianetti, Giovani William & Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira, 2024. "Pasture recovery, emissions, and the Brazilian Paris agreement commitments," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. William Wills & Emilio Lebre La Rovere & Carolina Grottera & Giovanna Ferrazzo Naspolini & Gaëlle Le Treut & F. Ghersi & Julien Lefèvre & Carolina Burle Schmidt Dubeux, 2022. "Economic and social effectiveness of carbon pricing schemes to meet Brazilian NDC targets," Post-Print hal-03500923, HAL.
    2. Ferreira, J.B. De Souza Filho & De Faria, V. Guidotti & Guedes Pinto, L.F. & Sparovek, G., 2018. "Economic and Social Impacts of Deforestation reduction in Brazil," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277084, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid & Jerome Dumortier & Ryan Goodrich, 2020. "Incorporating Sub‐National Brazilian Agricultural Production and Land‐Use into U.S. Biofuel Policy Evaluation," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(3), pages 497-523, September.
    4. Deborah Bentivoglio & Adele Finco & Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi, 2016. "Interdependencies between Biofuel, Fuel and Food Prices: The Case of the Brazilian Ethanol Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-16, June.
    5. Silva, Felipe & Fulginiti, Lilyan & Perrin, Richard, 2016. "Trade-off between amazon forest and agriculture in Brazil – shadow price and their substitution estimative for 2006," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235800, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento & Horridge, Mark & Diniz, Tiago Barbosa, 2015. "The New Forest Code and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions in Brazil," Conference papers 332654, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento & Freitas Vian, Carlos, 2015. "The Evolving Role of Large and Middle Size Farms in Brazilian Agriculture," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212026, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento & Stocco, Leandro, 2019. "Closing the Yield Gap in Livestock Production in Brazil: New Results and Emissions Insights," Conference papers 330190, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Jonathan Gonçalves Da Silva & Joaquim Bento De Souza Ferreira Filho, 2016. "Climate Change, Agriculture And Livestock Intensification In Brazil: The Borlaug Hypothesis," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 184, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    10. Mariano, Marc Jim M. & Giesecke, James A., 2014. "The macroeconomic and food security implications of price interventions in the Philippine rice market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 350-361.
    11. Augusto Mussi Alvim & Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet, 2021. "Climate Change Policies and the Carbon Tax Effect on Meat and Dairy Industries in Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-20, August.
    12. Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza, 2012. "Food Security, Labor Market And Poverty Of The Bio-Economy In Brazil," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126158, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Carriquiry, Miguel & Elobeid, Amani & Goodrich, Ryan, 2016. "Comparing the trends and strength of determinants to deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon in consideration of biofuel policies in Brazil and the United States," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235888, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2012. "Endogenous Land Use and Supply, and Food Security in Brazil," Conference papers 332215, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Santos, Cárliton Vieira dos & Oliveira, Aryeverton Fortes de & Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira, 2022. "Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and the economy in different regions of Brazil," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 60(1), January.
    16. Ferreira, Marcelo D P & Feres, Jose, 2018. "The Role of Climate Risk on Land Allocation in Brazilian Amazon," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274436, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Andrade de Sá, Saraly & Palmer, Charles & di Falco, Salvatore, 2013. "Dynamics of indirect land-use change: Empirical evidence from Brazil," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 377-393.
    18. Shigeaki F. Hasegawa & Takenori Takada, 2019. "Probability of Deriving a Yearly Transition Probability Matrix for Land-Use Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-11, November.
    19. Bladimir Carrillo & Danyelle K. Branco & Juan C. Trujillo & João E. Lima, 2019. "The Externalities of a Deforestation Control Policy in Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(2), pages 369-400.
    20. Ferreira, M. & Feres, J.G., 2018. "Farm Size and Productive Efficiency in Brazilian Amazon," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277289, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332880. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.