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Patterns of Growth and Public Spending in Uganda: Alternative Scenarios for 2003-2020

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  • Lofgren, Hans
  • Diaz-Bonilla, Carolina
  • Kinnunen, Jouko
  • Merotto, Dino

Abstract

We explore the effects of alternative growth patterns, domestic policies, and foreign aid in Uganda. The analysis is based on a Ugandan version of one-country CGE model MAMS of the World Bank. The results pinpoint to the importance of export market access for sectors which experience TFP growth. This is especially pertinent to agriculture. We also suggest that only marginal gains are available from reallocating government outlays. More rapid government productivity growth or increased foreign aid is required for substantial gains, including reaching other MDGs than MDG 1.

Suggested Citation

  • Lofgren, Hans & Diaz-Bonilla, Carolina & Kinnunen, Jouko & Merotto, Dino, 2008. "Patterns of Growth and Public Spending in Uganda: Alternative Scenarios for 2003-2020," Conference papers 331746, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331746
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    References listed on IDEAS

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