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Effects of Russian WTO Accession and EU Enlargement on Belarus: Initial Estimations

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  • Souza, Lúcio Vinhas de

Abstract

This paper aims to study the joint effects of Russia’s entry into the WTO and of the impending EU Enlargement in a small open Eastern European Economy, the Republic of Belarus. The paper is organized as follows. It starts with the brief description of Belarus trade prior independence in Section I. Changes in commodity and geographical structure of Belarus trade since independence are analyzed in Section II. In Section III trade regime and trade-related policies are described. Section IV is dealt with the discussion of the rationale of the movement towards closer integration with Russia. In Section V, a small CGE model is used to present very preliminary estimations the effects of the developments above. This paper was done as an input to the USAID/IRIS Project n° 220/001.0-03-337.

Suggested Citation

  • Souza, Lúcio Vinhas de, 2003. "Effects of Russian WTO Accession and EU Enlargement on Belarus: Initial Estimations," Conference papers 331130, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331130
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Pizer, William, 1997. "Prices vs. Quantities Revisited: The Case of Climate Change," RFF Working Paper Series dp-98-02, Resources for the Future.
    4. Warwick J. McKibbin & Peter J. Wilcoxen, 1997. "A Better Way to Slow Global Climate Change," Economics and Environment Network Working Papers 9702, Australian National University, Economics and Environment Network.
    5. Roberts, Marc J. & Spence, Michael, 1976. "Effluent charges and licenses under uncertainty," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3-4), pages 193-208.
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