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Enlargement and the EU Periphery: The Impact of Changing Market Potential

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  • Brulhart, Marius
  • Crozet, Matthieu
  • Koenig, Pamina

Abstract

We study the impact of changing relative market access in an enlarged EU on the economies of incumbent Objective 1 regions. First, we track the impact of external opening on internal spatial configurations in a three-region economic geography model. External opening gives rise to potentially offsetting economic forces, but for most parameter configurations it is found to raise the locational attractiveness of the region that is close to the external market. Then, we explore the relation between market access and economic activity empirically. We simulate the impact of enlargement on EU Objective 1 regions. Predicted market-access induced gains in regional GDP and manufacturing employment are up to seven times larger in regions proximate to the new accession countries than in "interior" EU regions. We also find that a future Balkans enlargement could be particularly effective in reducing economic inequalities among the EU periphery, due to the positive impact on relative market access of Greek regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Brulhart, Marius & Crozet, Matthieu & Koenig, Pamina, 2004. "Enlargement and the EU Periphery: The Impact of Changing Market Potential," Discussion Paper Series 26330, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:hwwadp:26330
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.26330
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation

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