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The Sensitivity Of Wine Industry Outcomes To Model Assumptions In Gst Scenarios

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  • Wittwer, Glyn

Abstract

This study provides an example of applying an AGE model to consider the effects on the wine industry of broader tax reform. The sensitivity of results is considered with respect to the choice of base year for static analysis and an alteration to the long-run capital assumption. Systematic sensitivity analysis is used to evaluate the extent to which expenditure and export demand elasticities determine industry-specific outcomes. The analysis is extended to evaluate the impacts of policy uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Wittwer, Glyn, 2000. "The Sensitivity Of Wine Industry Outcomes To Model Assumptions In Gst Scenarios," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123742, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aare00:123742
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.123742
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kenneth W. Clements & Saroja Selvanathan, 1991. "The Economic Determinants Of Alcohol Consumption," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 35(2), pages 209-231, August.
    2. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 1998. "Forecasting and Policy Analysis with a Dynamic CGE Model of Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers op-90, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 1999. "The Government's Tax Package: Further Analysis based on the MONASH Model," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-131, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
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