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¿Discontinuidades o continuidades políticas? Explorando sus efectos sobre el desempeño económico: el caso de la intervención federal en Santiago del Estero

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  • Fernando Antonio Ignacio González
  • Maria Emma Santos
  • Juan Cruz Fernández

Abstract

¿Puede la remoción de una élite política subnacional impulsar el desarrollo económico? En este trabajo analizamos esta pregunta a partir de la más reciente intervención federal que tuvo lugar en Argentina (en Santiago del Estero, 2004) y que devino en el fin del gobierno juarista. A partir de una metodología de control sintético, consideramos cuatro resultados de interés: crecimiento económico, desigualdad, transferencias a las provincias y recaudación provincial. Los resultados sugieren que aun cuando, luego de la intervención federal, Santiago del Estero recibió mayores transferencias por habitante esto no resultó en una mejora en el crecimiento ni en la desigualdad. Además, luego de la intervención federal los niveles de competencia política han disminuido en la provincia al surgir otra élite (el zamorismo) que gobierna la provincia desde entonces. Lo anterior sugiere que en un contexto de elevada concentración política la performance económica provincial puede ser persistentemente ineficiente (mayores recursos no se traducen en mejores resultados). Si el objetivo es impulsar el desarrollo económico, no es suficiente con un simple cambio de gobernantes.
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Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Antonio Ignacio González & Maria Emma Santos & Juan Cruz Fernández, 2021. "¿Discontinuidades o continuidades políticas? Explorando sus efectos sobre el desempeño económico: el caso de la intervención federal en Santiago del Estero," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4480, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4480
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    intervención provincial; regímenes híbridos; zonas marrones; transferencias federales; pobreza; crecimiento económico; luminosidad; Santiago del Estero; Argentina;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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