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Análisis del Comportamiento Fiscal de las Provincias Argentinas

Author

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  • María José Catalán
  • Emilse Vargas Ochuza

Abstract

Esta investigación propone analizar en primera instancia cómo es el desempeño fiscal de cada una de las 23 provincias argentinas, junto con la Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, para el período 1988-2018. Los resultados denotan de que casi la totalidad de las mismas presentan una política fiscal procíclica, en línea con el comportamiento del país a nivel nacional. Por otra parte, se detalla un modelo teórico que expone cómo las transferencias discrecionales por parte del gobierno federal generan una relación estratégica entre las provincias, y cuyos resultados sirven de sustento para un análisis empírico de las transferencias y la posible creación de un fondo de reserva anticíclico a partir de ellas. Lo último será realizado a modo de complemento en una investigación futura.

Suggested Citation

  • María José Catalán & Emilse Vargas Ochuza, 2020. "Análisis del Comportamiento Fiscal de las Provincias Argentinas," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4423, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4423
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    File URL: https://aaep.org.ar/works/works2020/Vargas.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Vegh, Carlos A. & Vuletin, Guillermo, 2013. "On graduation from fiscal procyclicality," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 32-47.
    2. Sanguinetti, Pablo & Tommasi, Mariano, 2004. "Intergovernmental transfers and fiscal behavior insurance versus aggregate discipline," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 149-170, January.
    3. Besfamille, Martín & Grosman, Nicolás & Jorrat, Diego & Manzano, Osmel & Sanguinetti, Pablo, 2017. "Public expenditures and debt at the subnational level: Evidence of fiscal smoothing from Argentina," Research Department working papers 1009, CAF Development Bank Of Latinamerica.
    4. Lockwood, Ben, 1999. "Inter-regional insurance," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 1-37, April.
    5. Lane, Philip R., 2003. "The cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy: evidence from the OECD," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(12), pages 2661-2675, December.
    6. Martín Besfamille & Pablo Sanguinetti & Diego Jorrat & Osmel Manzano, 2019. "How Do Subnational Governments React to Shocks to Revenue Sources? Evidence from Argentina," Documentos de Trabajo 522, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    7. Muñoz, Federico & Trombetta, Martin, 2015. "Indicador Sintético de Actividad Provincial (ISAP): un Aporte al Análisis de las Economías Regionales argentinas," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 33, pages 71-96.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Política fiscal; Prociclicidad; Provincias Argentinas; Transferencias;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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