Josh R. Stillwagon
Personal Details
First Name: | Josh |
Middle Name: | R. |
Last Name: | Stillwagon |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pst728 |
| |
http://www.babson.edu/Academics/faculty/profiles/Pages/Stillwagon-Joshua.aspx | |
Affiliation
Economics Division
Babson College
Babson Park, Massachusetts (United States)http://www3.babson.edu/Academics/Divisions/econ/
RePEc:edi:edbabus (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Roman Frydman & Joshua Stillwagon, 2021. "Market Participants Neither Commit Predictable Errors nor Conform to REH: Evidence from Survey Data of Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers Series inetwp163, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2020.
"How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns,"
Working Papers Series
inetwp115, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2021. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 351-367, October.
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Roman Frydman & Joshua R. Stillwagon, 2016. "Stock-Market Expectations: Econometric Evidence that both REH and Behavioral Insights Matter," Working Papers Series 44, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016.
"Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?,"
Working Papers
1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020. "Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Forecast Errors about Persistently Trending Fundamentals," Working Papers 1501, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Steve Furnagiev & Josh Stillwagon, 2015. "Subjective Currency Risk Premia and Deviations from Moving Averages," Working Papers 1506, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "TIPS and the VIX: Non-linear Spillovers from Financial Panic to Breakeven Inflation," Working Papers 1502, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014.
"Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation,"
Working Papers
1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016. "Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014.
"Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR,"
Working Papers
1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2015. "Testing the expectations hypothesis with survey forecasts: The impacts of consumer sentiment and the zero lower bound in an I(2) CVAR," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 85-101.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "Are Risk Premia Related to Real Exchange Rate Swings? Survey Expectations and I(2) Trends," Working Papers 1318, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "The Excess Returns Puzzle in Currency Markets: Clues on Moving Forward," Working Papers 1313, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "Currency Risk and Imperfect Knowledge: Volatility and Long Swings around Benchmark Values," Working Papers 1315, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "Rethinking What Survey Data has to Say about the Role of Risk and Irrationality in Currency Markets," Working Papers 1314, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "Does the Consumption CAPM Help in Accounting for Expected Currency Returns?," Working Papers 1317, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
Articles
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2021.
"How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns,"
Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 351-367, October.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2020. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Working Papers Series inetwp115, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020.
"Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016. "Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?," Working Papers 1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Steven Furnagiev & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "Currency risk premia: Perceptions of downside risk and deviations from benchmark values," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 33-48, January.
- Frydman, Roman & Stillwagon, Joshua R., 2018. "Fundamental factors and extrapolation in stock-market expectations: The central role of structural change," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 189-198.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018. "ARE RISK PREMIA RELATED TO REAL EXCHANGE RATE SWINGS? EVIDENCE FROM I(2) CVARs WITH SURVEY EXPECTATIONS," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 255-278, March.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2018. "TIPS and the VIX: Spillovers from Financial Panic to Breakeven Inflation in an Automated, Nonlinear Modeling Framework," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 218-235, April.
- Juselius, Katarina & Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018. "Are outcomes driving expectations or the other way around? An I(2) CVAR analysis of interest rate expectations in the dollar/pound market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 93-105.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016.
"Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation," Working Papers 1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Ross Gittell & Josh Stillwagon, 2016. "The Effects of US State-Level Energy and Environmental Policies on Clean Tech Innovation and Employment," Journal of Management and Sustainability, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 6(2), pages 1-20, June.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "Can the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model Account for Traders' Expected Currency Returns?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 1044-1069, November.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2015.
"Testing the expectations hypothesis with survey forecasts: The impacts of consumer sentiment and the zero lower bound in an I(2) CVAR,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 85-101.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR," Working Papers 1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014. "Reexamining what survey data say about currency risk and irrationality using the cointegrated VAR," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(3), pages 1631-1643.
- Ross J. Gittell & Josh Stillwagon, 2011. "Tracking jobs in clean industries in New England," New England Economic Indicators, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Q3, pages 4-14.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2020.
"How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns,"
Working Papers Series
inetwp115, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2021. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 351-367, October.
Cited by:
- Deimante Teresiene & Greta Keliuotyte-Staniuleniene & Yiyi Liao & Rasa Kanapickiene & Ruihui Pu & Siyan Hu & Xiao-Guang Yue, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer and Business Confidence Indicators," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, April.
- Roman Frydman & Soren Johansen & Anders Rahbek & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2021. "Asset Prices Under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers Series inetwp172, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Łukasz Baszczak, 2023. "Ekonomia narracji – początki nowego nurtu," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 66-81.
- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Global financial crisis versus COVID‐19: Evidence from sentiment analysis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 218-248, August.
- Blajer-Gołębiewska, Anna & Honecker, Lukas & Nowak, Sabina, 2024. "Investor sentiment response to COVID-19 outbreak-related news: A sectoral analysis of US firms," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Dias, Ishanka K. & Fernando, J.M. Ruwani & Fernando, P. Narada D., 2022. "Does investor sentiment predict bitcoin return and volatility? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Adnan Abo Al Haija & Rahma Lahyani, 2023. "Dynamic interactions of actual stock returns with forecasted stock returns and investors’ risk aversion: empirical evidence interplaying the impact of Covid-19 pandemic," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1129-1149, October.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016.
"Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?,"
Working Papers
1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020. "Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
Cited by:
- Syarifah Inayati & Nur Iriawan & Irhamah, 2024. "A Markov Switching Autoregressive Model with Time-Varying Parameters," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-23, July.
- de Souza Vasconcelos, Camila & Hadad Júnior, Eli, 2023. "Forecasting exchange rate: A bibliometric and content analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 607-628.
- Dejan Živkov & Slavica Manić & Ivan Pavkov, 2022. "Nonlinear examination of the ‘Heat Wave’ and ‘Meteor Shower’ effects between spot and futures markets of the precious metals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 1109-1134, August.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014.
"Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation,"
Working Papers
1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016. "Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
Cited by:
- Afees A. Salisu & Umar B. Ndako, 2017.
"Modelling stock price-exchange rate nexus in OECD countries - A new perspective,"
Working Papers
038, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B., 2018. "Modelling stock price–exchange rate nexus in OECD countries: A new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 105-123.
- Yao, Can-Zhong & Lin, Qing-Wen, 2017. "Recurrence plots analysis of the CNY exchange markets based on phase space reconstruction," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 584-596.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2023.
"Robust Discovery of Regression Models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 31-51.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Economics Papers 2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Frydman, Roman & Stillwagon, Joshua R., 2018. "Fundamental factors and extrapolation in stock-market expectations: The central role of structural change," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 189-198.
- Jiao, Xiyu & Pretis, Felix & Schwarz, Moritz, 2024. "Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(1).
- Roman Frydman & Joshua R. Stillwagon, 2016. "Stock-Market Expectations: Econometric Evidence that both REH and Behavioral Insights Matter," Working Papers Series 44, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Natalia Ponomareva & Jeffrey Sheen & Ben Zhe Wang, 2019. "The common component of bilateral US exchange rates: to what is it related?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1251-1268, April.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014.
"Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR,"
Working Papers
1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2015. "Testing the expectations hypothesis with survey forecasts: The impacts of consumer sentiment and the zero lower bound in an I(2) CVAR," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 85-101.
Cited by:
- Kim, Joseph H.T. & Li, Johnny S.H., 2017. "Risk-neutral valuation of the non-recourse protection in reverse mortgages: A case study for Korea," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 133-154.
- Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.
- Natalia Ponomareva & Jeffrey Sheen & Ben Zhe Wang, 2019. "The common component of bilateral US exchange rates: to what is it related?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1251-1268, April.
- Juselius, Katarina & Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018. "Are outcomes driving expectations or the other way around? An I(2) CVAR analysis of interest rate expectations in the dollar/pound market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 93-105.
- Kunze, Frederik & Wegener, Christoph & Bizer, Kilian & Spiwoks, Markus, 2017. "Forecasting European interest rates in times of financial crisis – What insights do we get from international survey forecasts?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 192-205.
- Yue-Jun Zhang & Shu-Hui Li, 2019. "The impact of investor sentiment on crude oil market risks: evidence from the wavelet approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(8), pages 1357-1371, August.
Articles
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021.
"Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
Cited by:
- Michael D. Goldberg & Olesia Kozlova & Deniz Ozabaci, 2020. "Forward Rate Bias in Developed and Developing Countries: More Risky Not Less Rational," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-26, December.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2021.
"How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns,"
Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 351-367, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2020. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Working Papers Series inetwp115, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020.
"Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016. "Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?," Working Papers 1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Steven Furnagiev & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019.
"Currency risk premia: Perceptions of downside risk and deviations from benchmark values,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 33-48, January.
Cited by:
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Frydman, Roman & Stillwagon, Joshua R., 2018.
"Fundamental factors and extrapolation in stock-market expectations: The central role of structural change,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 189-198.
Cited by:
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2022.
"Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations,"
Chemnitz Economic Papers
056, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Mar 2022.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," MPRA Paper 120648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mangee, Nicholas, 2024. "Stock price swings and fundamentals: The role of Knightian uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020.
"Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016. "Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?," Working Papers 1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018.
"ARE RISK PREMIA RELATED TO REAL EXCHANGE RATE SWINGS? EVIDENCE FROM I(2) CVARs WITH SURVEY EXPECTATIONS,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 255-278, March.
Cited by:
- Takamitsu Kurita & Patrick James, 2022. "The Canadian–US dollar exchange rate over the four decades of the post‐Bretton Woods float: An econometric study allowing for structural breaks," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 856-883, July.
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020.
"Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016. "Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?," Working Papers 1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Yuanyuan Li & Dietmar Bauer, 2020. "Modeling I(2) Processes Using Vector Autoregressions Where the Lag Length Increases with the Sample Size," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-28, September.
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2018.
"TIPS and the VIX: Spillovers from Financial Panic to Breakeven Inflation in an Automated, Nonlinear Modeling Framework,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 218-235, April.
Cited by:
- António Afonso & Michael G. Arghyrou & María Dolores Gadea & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2017.
""Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects,"
Working Papers REM
2017/02, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Afonso, Ant nio & Arghyrou, Michael G & Gadea, Mar a Dolores & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2017. ""Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Afonso, A & Arghyrou, MG & Gadea, MD & Kontonikas, A, 2017. ""Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20417, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Afonso, António & Arghyrou, Michael G. & Gadea, María Dolores & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2018. "“Whatever it takes” to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-30.
- António Afonso & Michael G. Arghyrou & María Dolores Gadea & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2017. ""Whatever it takes" to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects," CESifo Working Paper Series 6691, CESifo.
- Hie Joo Ahn & Choongryul Yang, 2022. "Effects of Monetary Policy on Household Expectations: The Role of Homeownership," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- María T. González-Pérez, 2021. "Lessons from estimating the average option-implied volatility term structure for the Spanish banking sector," Working Papers 2128, Banco de España.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Agnieszka M. Chomicz-Grabowska & Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2020. "Financial market risk and macroeconomic stability variables: dynamic interactions and feedback effects," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 655-669, October.
- Orlowski, Lucjan T. & Soper, Carolyne, 2019. "Market risk and market-implied inflation expectations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- António Afonso & Michael G. Arghyrou & María Dolores Gadea & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2017.
""Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects,"
Working Papers REM
2017/02, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Juselius, Katarina & Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018.
"Are outcomes driving expectations or the other way around? An I(2) CVAR analysis of interest rate expectations in the dollar/pound market,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 93-105.
Cited by:
- Jung, Alexander & Carcel Villanova, Hector, 2020. "The empirical properties of euro area M3, 1980-2017," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 37-49.
- Katarina Juselius, 2021.
"Searching for a Theory That Fits the Data: A Personal Research Odyssey,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
- Katarina Juselius, 2018. "Searching for a theory that fits the data: A personal research odyssey," Discussion Papers 18-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Katarina Juselius, 2017.
"Using a Theory-Consistent CVAR Scenario to Test an Exchange Rate Model Based on Imperfect Knowledge,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-20, July.
- Katarina Juselius, 2017. "Using a Theory-Consistent CVAR Scenario to Test an Exchange Rate Model Based on Imperfect Knowledge," Discussion Papers 17-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Bošnjak Mile & Novak Ivan & Vlajčić Davor, 2021. "Market Efficiency of Euro Exchange Rates and Trading Strategies," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 67(2), pages 10-19, June.
- Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2019. "Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 866, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Kurita, Takamitsu, 2020. "Likelihood-based tests for parameter constancy in I(2) CVAR models with an application to fixed-term deposit data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Kurita, Takamitsu, 2021. "A dynamic econometric analysis of the dollar-pound exchange rate in an era of structural breaks and policy regime shifts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Rocco Mosconi & Paolo Paruolo, 2022. "A Conversation with Katarina Juselius," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-21, April.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020.
"Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
- Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2016. "Markov Switching in Exchange Rate Models: Will More Regimes Help?," Working Papers 1602, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal, 2023. "Long run non-linearity in CO2 emissions: the I(2) cointegration model and the environmental Kuznets curve," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(4), pages 899-931, November.
- Yuanyuan Li & Dietmar Bauer, 2020. "Modeling I(2) Processes Using Vector Autoregressions Where the Lag Length Increases with the Sample Size," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-28, September.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Testing for UIP: Nonlinearities, Monetary Announcements and Interest Rate Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9027, CESifo.
- Michael D. Goldberg & Olesia Kozlova & Deniz Ozabaci, 2020. "Forward Rate Bias in Developed and Developing Countries: More Risky Not Less Rational," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-26, December.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Testing for UIP-Type Relationships: Nonlinearities, Monetary Announcements and Interest Rate Expectations," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 705-749, September.
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016.
"Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation," Working Papers 1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015.
"Can the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model Account for Traders' Expected Currency Returns?,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 1044-1069, November.
Cited by:
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014.
"Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation,"
Working Papers
1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016. "Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014.
"Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation,"
Working Papers
1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2015.
"Testing the expectations hypothesis with survey forecasts: The impacts of consumer sentiment and the zero lower bound in an I(2) CVAR,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 85-101.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR," Working Papers 1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014.
"Reexamining what survey data say about currency risk and irrationality using the cointegrated VAR,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(3), pages 1631-1643.
Cited by:
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "Can the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model Account for Traders' Expected Currency Returns?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 1044-1069, November.
- Nevin Cavusoglu & Michael D. Goldberg & Joshua Stillwagon, 2019. "New Evidence on the Portfolio Balance Approach to Currency Returns," Working Papers Series 89, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Juselius, Katarina & Stillwagon, Josh R., 2018. "Are outcomes driving expectations or the other way around? An I(2) CVAR analysis of interest rate expectations in the dollar/pound market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 93-105.
- Ross J. Gittell & Josh Stillwagon, 2011.
"Tracking jobs in clean industries in New England,"
New England Economic Indicators, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Q3, pages 4-14.
Cited by:
- Neal D. Woods & Jiyoon Kang & Morgan A. Lowder, 2023. "Do green policies produce green jobs?," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 104(2), pages 153-167, March.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 11 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (5) 2013-12-20 2014-11-17 2015-03-27 2015-07-25 2021-11-08. Author is listed
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (4) 2013-12-20 2013-12-20 2015-03-27 2020-05-18
- NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (3) 2015-04-02 2016-06-25 2020-05-18
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (3) 2014-02-15 2015-04-02 2021-11-08
- NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (3) 2013-12-20 2019-12-02 2021-11-08
- NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (2) 2015-03-27 2015-07-25
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2015-03-27
- NEP-CBE: Cognitive and Behavioural Economics (1) 2013-12-20
- NEP-NET: Network Economics (1) 2016-06-25
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2021-11-08
- NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2014-02-15
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