Report NEP-FOR-2020-05-18

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

Subscribe to this report: email, RSS, or Mastodon, or Bluesky.

Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
• Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Ahmet Sensoy, 2020. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Predictability of Bank Revenues," Working Papers 202040, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Darvas, Zsolt & Schepp, Zoltán, 2020. "Forecasting exchange rates of major currencies with long maturity forward rates," Corvinus Economics Working Papers (CEWP) 2020/01, Corvinus University of Budapest.
• Sium Bodha Hannadige & Jiti Gao & Mervyn J. Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle, 2020. "Forecasting a Nonstationary Time Series with a Mixture of Stationary and Nonstationary Factors as Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 19/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Ilias Tsiakas & Jiahan Li & Haibin Zhang, 2020. "Equity Premium Prediction and the State of the Economy," Working Paper series 20-16, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
• Marcus Cobb & Jennifer Peña, 2020. "Proyecciones de corto plazo para el PIB trimestral: Desempeño reciente de una serie de modelos estándar," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 871, Central Bank of Chile.
• Natalia Bailey & Zvi Hochman & Yufeng Mao & Mervyn J. Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle, 2020. "Statistical Modelling and Forecast Evaluation of the Impact of Extreme Temperatures on Wheat Crops in North Western Victoria," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Christos Bouras & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2020. "Forecasting State- and MSA-Level Housing Returns of the US: The Role of Mortgage Default Risks," Working Papers 202037, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2020. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Working Papers Series inetwp115, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
• Milan Fičura, 2019. "Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rate Movements with k-Nearest-Neighbour, Ridge Regression and Feed-Forward Neural Networks," FFA Working Papers 1.001, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 24 Nov 2019.
• Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting," Papers 2004.12400, arXiv.org.
• Karina Arias-Calluari & Fernando Alonso-Marroquin & Morteza Nattagh-Najafi & Michael Harr'e, 2020. "Methods for forecasting the effect of exogenous risk on stock markets," Papers 2005.03969, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2020. "An introduction to time-varying lag autoregression," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2020-05, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
• Tao Hong & Pierre Pinson & Yi Wang & Rafal Weron & Dazhi Yang & Hamidreza Zareipour, 2020. "Energy forecasting: A review and outlook," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
• Benjamin Jones, 2020. "Revenue forecasting in the mining industries: A data-driven approach," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-22, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
• Payne, Jason Leslie & Morgan, Anthony, 2020. "COVID-19 and Violent Crime: A comparison of recorded offence rates and dynamic forecasts (ARIMA) for March 2020 in Queensland, Australia," SocArXiv g4kh7, Center for Open Science.