Daniele Massacci
Personal Details
First Name: | Daniele |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Massacci |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pma1104 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://sites.google.com/site/danielemassacci/home | |
Affiliation
(60%) Business School
King's College London
London, United Kingdomhttp://www.kcl.ac.uk/business
RePEc:edi:dmkcluk (more details at EDIRC)
(40%) Centro Studi di Economia e Finanza (CSEF)
Napoli, Italyhttp://www.csef.it/
RePEc:edi:cssalit (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020.
"Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models,"
Working Papers
305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021. "Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
- Fullwood, Jonathan & Massacci, Daniele, 2018. "Liquidity resilience in the UK gilt futures market: evidence from the order book," Bank of England working papers 744, Bank of England.
Articles
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021.
"Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020. "Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models," Working Papers 305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Daniele Massacci, 2019. "Unstable Diffusion Indexes: With an Application to Bond Risk Premia," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(6), pages 1376-1400, December.
- Daniele Massacci, 2017. "Tail Risk Dynamics in Stock Returns: Links to the Macroeconomy and Global Markets Connectedness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(9), pages 3072-3089, September.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2017. "Least squares estimation of large dimensional threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 101-129.
- Daniele Massacci, 2015. "Predicting the Distribution of Stock Returns: Model Formulation, Statistical Evaluation, VaR Analysis and Economic Significance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 191-208, April.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2014. "A two-regime threshold model with conditional skewed Student t distributions for stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 9-20.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2013. "A switching model with flexible threshold variable: With an application to nonlinear dynamics in stock returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 199-203.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2013. "A variable addition test for exogeneity in structural threshold models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 5-9.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2012. "A simple test for linearity against exponential smooth transition models with endogenous variables," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 851-856.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020.
"Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models,"
Working Papers
305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021. "Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
Cited by:
- Massacci, Daniele & Kapetanios, George, 2024. "Forecasting in factor augmented regressions under structural change," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 62-76.
- Carlos Cesar Trucios-Maza & João H. G Mazzeu & Luis K. Hotta & Pedro L. Valls Pereira & Marc Hallin, 2019. "On the robustness of the general dynamic factor model with infinite-dimensional space: identification, estimation, and forecasting," Working Papers ECARES 2019-32, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Carlos Trucíos & João H. G. Mazzeu & Marc Hallin & Luiz K. Hotta & Pedro L. Valls Pereira & Mauricio Zevallos, 2022.
"Forecasting Conditional Covariance Matrices in High-Dimensional Time Series: A General Dynamic Factor Approach,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(1), pages 40-52, December.
- Marc Hallin & Luis K. Hotta & João H. G Mazzeu & Carlos Cesar Trucios-Maza & Pedro L. Valls Pereira & Mauricio Zevallos, 2019. "Forecasting Conditional Covariance Matrices in High-Dimensional Time Series: a General Dynamic Factor Approach," Working Papers ECARES 2019-14, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Trucíos Maza, Carlos César & Mazzeu, João H. G. & Hallin, Marc & Hotta, Luiz Koodi & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Zevallos, Mauricio, 2019. "Forecasting conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional time series: a general dynamic factor approach," Textos para discussão 505, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Trucíos Maza, Carlos César & Mazzeu, João H. G. & Hotta, Luiz Koodi & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Hallin, Marc, 2020.
"Robustness and the general dynamic factor model with infinite-dimensional space: identification, estimation, and forecasting,"
Textos para discussão
521, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Trucíos, Carlos & Mazzeu, João H.G. & Hotta, Luiz K. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L. & Hallin, Marc, 2021. "Robustness and the general dynamic factor model with infinite-dimensional space: Identification, estimation, and forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1520-1534.
- Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin & Stefano Soccorsi, 2017. "Identification of Global and National Shocks in International Financial Markets via General Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Articles
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021.
"Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020. "Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models," Working Papers 305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Daniele Massacci, 2019.
"Unstable Diffusion Indexes: With an Application to Bond Risk Premia,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(6), pages 1376-1400, December.
Cited by:
- Massacci, Daniele & Kapetanios, George, 2024. "Forecasting in factor augmented regressions under structural change," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 62-76.
- Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Predictive ability tests with possibly overlapping models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(1).
- Daniele Massacci, 2017.
"Tail Risk Dynamics in Stock Returns: Links to the Macroeconomy and Global Markets Connectedness,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(9), pages 3072-3089, September.
Cited by:
- Ke, Rui & Yang, Luyao & Tan, Changchun, 2022. "Forecasting tail risk for Bitcoin: A dynamic peak over threshold approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- Song, Shijia & Tian, Fei & Li, Handong, 2021. "An intraday-return-based Value-at-Risk model driven by dynamic conditional score with censored generalized Pareto distribution," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Polanski, Arnold & Stoja, Evarist, 2017. "Forecasting multidimensional tail risk at short and long horizons," Bank of England working papers 660, Bank of England.
- Eric A. Beutner & Yicong Lin & Andre Lucas, 2023. "Consistency, distributional convergence, and optimality of score-driven filters," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-051/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Song, Shijia & Li, Handong, 2023. "A method for predicting VaR by aggregating generalized distributions driven by the dynamic conditional score," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 203-214.
- Stephen Thiele, 2020. "Modeling the conditional distribution of financial returns with asymmetric tails," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 46-60, January.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin, 2023. "Volatility models for stylized facts of high‐frequency financial data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 262-279, May.
- Song, Shijia & Li, Handong, 2022. "Predicting VaR for China's stock market: A score-driven model based on normal inverse Gaussian distribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Shin, Minseok & Kim, Donggyu & Fan, Jianqing, 2023. "Adaptive robust large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
- Nekhili, Ramzi & Foglia, Matteo & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "European bank credit risk transmission during the credit Suisse collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
- Feng, Yun & Hou, Weijie & Song, Yuping, 2023. "Tail risk in the Chinese stock market: An AEV model on the maximal drawdowns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Ayala Astrid & Blazsek Szabolcs & Escribano Alvaro, 2023. "Anticipating extreme losses using score-driven shape filters," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(4), pages 449-484, September.
- Julien Hambuckers & Li Sun & Luca Trapin, 2023. "Measuring tail risk at high-frequency: An $L_1$-regularized extreme value regression approach with unit-root predictors," Papers 2301.01362, arXiv.org.
- Chunli Huang & Xu Zhao & Weihu Cheng & Qingqing Ji & Qiao Duan & Yufei Han, 2022. "Statistical Inference of Dynamic Conditional Generalized Pareto Distribution with Weather and Air Quality Factors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-25, April.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Dynamic CoVaR Modeling," Papers 2206.14275, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Zongxin Zhang & Ying Chen, 2022. "Tail Risk Early Warning System for Capital Markets Based on Machine Learning Algorithms," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 901-923, October.
- Palumbo, D., 2021. "Testing and Modelling Time Series with Time Varying Tails," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2111, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Cao, Yufei, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers across financial markets under different crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar & Anil K. Bera, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of stochastic tail index from high-frequency financial data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2685-2711, November.
- Marco Bee & Luca Trapin, 2018. "Estimating and Forecasting Conditional Risk Measures with Extreme Value Theory: A Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, April.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2017.
"Least squares estimation of large dimensional threshold factor models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 101-129.
Cited by:
- Matteo Barigozzi & Daniele Massacci, 2022. "Modelling Large Dimensional Datasets with Markov Switching Factor Models," Papers 2210.09828, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
- Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2020.
"Modeling Turning Points In Global Equity Market,"
DEM Working Papers Series
195, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto, 2024. "Modeling Turning Points in the Global Equity Market," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 60-75.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," PSE Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2018.
"Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models,"
Discussion Papers
18/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2017. "Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models," Papers 1708.02786, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2020. "Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(8), pages 5149-5187.
- Bai, Jushan & Han, Xu & Shi, Yutang, 2020. "Estimation and inference of change points in high-dimensional factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 66-100.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Cho, Haeran & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2018.
"Simultaneous multiple change-point and factor analysis for high-dimensional time series,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
88110, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Cho, Haeran & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2018. "Simultaneous multiple change-point and factor analysis for high-dimensional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 187-225.
- Zhou, Ruichao & Wu, Jianhong, 2023. "Determining the number of change-points in high-dimensional factor models by cross-validation with matrix completion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
- Urga, Giovanni & Wang, Fa, 2022.
"Estimation and inference for high dimensional factor model with regime switching,"
MPRA Paper
113172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giovanni Urga & Fa Wang, 2022. "Estimation and Inference for High Dimensional Factor Model with Regime Switching," Papers 2205.12126, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Aslanidis, Nektarios & Hartigan, Luke, 2021. "Is the assumption of constant factor loadings too strong in practice?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 100-108.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018.
"Structural Breaks in Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
- Matteo Barigozzi, 2022. "On Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the Principal Component Analysis," Papers 2211.01921, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Xialu Liu & John Guerard & Rong Chen & Ruey Tsay, 2024. "Improving Estimation of Portfolio Risk Using New Statistical Factors," Papers 2409.17182, arXiv.org.
- Jianqing Fan & Kunpeng Li & Yuan Liao, 2020. "Recent Developments on Factor Models and its Applications in Econometric Learning," Papers 2009.10103, arXiv.org.
- Baltagi, Badi H. & Kao, Chihwa & Wang, Fa, 2016.
"Estimating and testing high dimensional factor models with multiple structural changes,"
MPRA Paper
98489, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Jul 2019.
- Baltagi, Badi H. & Kao, Chihwa & Wang, Fa, 2021. "Estimating and testing high dimensional factor models with multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 349-365.
- Urga, Giovanni & Wang, Fa, 2022. "Estimation and Inference for High Dimensional Factor Model with Regime Switching," MPRA Paper 117012, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Apr 2023.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.
- Wu, Jianhong, 2021. "Estimation of high dimensional factor model with multiple threshold-type regime shifts," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Xialu Liu & Elynn Y. Chen, 2022. "Identification and estimation of threshold matrix‐variate factor models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(3), pages 1383-1417, September.
- Ma, Chenchen & Tu, Yundong, 2023. "Shrinkage estimation of multiple threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1876-1892.
- Ma, Chenchen & Tu, Yundong, 2023. "Group fused Lasso for large factor models with multiple structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 132-154.
- Daniele Massacci, 2015.
"Predicting the Distribution of Stock Returns: Model Formulation, Statistical Evaluation, VaR Analysis and Economic Significance,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 191-208, April.
Cited by:
- Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021.
"Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020. "Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models," Working Papers 305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Staff Reports
850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Liberty Street Economics 20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Pal, Shanoli Samui & Kar, Samarjit, 2019. "Time series forecasting for stock market prediction through data discretization by fuzzistics and rule generation by rough set theory," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 18-30.
- Kaihua Deng, 2015. "Predicting By Learning: An Adaptive Rationale," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-14, December.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2014.
"A two-regime threshold model with conditional skewed Student t distributions for stock returns,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 9-20.
Cited by:
- Dahiru A. Balaa & Taro Takimotob, 2017. "Stock markets volatility spillovers during financial crises: A DCC-MGARCH with skewed-t density approach," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(1), pages 25-48, March.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2013.
"A switching model with flexible threshold variable: With an application to nonlinear dynamics in stock returns,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 199-203.
Cited by:
- Massacci, Daniele, 2014. "A two-regime threshold model with conditional skewed Student t distributions for stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 9-20.
- Leppin, Julia S. & Reitz, Stefan, 2014.
"The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing,"
FinMaP-Working Papers
7, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Leppin, Julian S. & Reitz, Stefan, 2014. "The role of a changing market environment for credit default swap pricing," Kiel Working Papers 1946, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Leppin, Julian S. & Reitz, Stefan, 2014. "The role of a changing market: Environment for credit default swap pricing," HWWI Research Papers 153, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
- Julian S. Leppin & Stefan Reitz, 2016. "The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 209-223, July.
- Massacci, Daniele, 2012.
"A simple test for linearity against exponential smooth transition models with endogenous variables,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 851-856.
Cited by:
- Massacci, Daniele, 2013. "A variable addition test for exogeneity in structural threshold models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 5-9.
More information
Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.Statistics
Access and download statistics for all items
Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 2 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2020-10-26
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2020-10-26
- NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (1) 2018-08-27
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2020-10-26
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