David I. Harvey
Personal Details
First Name: | David |
Middle Name: | I. |
Last Name: | Harvey |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pha1238 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/people/dave.harvey | |
Affiliation
Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics
School of Economics
University of Nottingham
Nottingham, United Kingdomhttp://www.nottingham.ac.uk/research/groups/grangercentre/
RePEc:edi:tsnotuk (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers Articles ChaptersWorking papers
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021.
"Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021. "Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2020.
"Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
27775, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2021. "Real‐time detection of regimes of predictability in the US equity premium," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 45-70, January.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Discussion Papers
18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2018. "Detecting Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 23198, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity,"
Discussion Papers
17/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J. & Whitehouse Emily J., 2018. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-29, February.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
Discussion Papers
17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"A bootstrap stationarity test for predictive regression invalidity,"
Discussion Papers
17/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019. "A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 528-541, July.
- Georgiev, I & Harvey, DI & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AMR, 2018. "A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 21006, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016.
"The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests,"
Discussion Papers
16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Discussion Papers
16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Discussion Papers
14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013.
"Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change,"
Discussion Papers
13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
- David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012. "Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010," CEH Discussion Papers 010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Discussion Papers
11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Discussion Papers
09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series [Revised to become No. 10/01 above]," Discussion Papers 09/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2009. "Testing for nonlinear trends when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 09/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011. "Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of a possible break in trend and non-stationary volatility," Discussion Papers 09/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions,"
Discussion Papers
08/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 409-442, November.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices,"
Discussion Papers
08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Discussion Papers
08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikoloas D. Sakkas, 2008.
"Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations,"
Discussion Papers
08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010. "Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikolaos D. Sakkas, 2008. "Panel root tests and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 06/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007.
"Testing for a unit root in the presence of a possible break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
07/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Testing For A Unit Root In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1545-1588, December.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007.
"A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown,"
Discussion Papers
07/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Xiao Bin, 2008. "A Powerful Test for Linearity When the Order of Integration is Unknown," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/06, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007.
"Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition,"
Discussion Papers
07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
- Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006.
"Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010. "Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269744, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2006.
"A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis,"
Discussion Papers
06/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2007. "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1302-1330, December.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2006.
"Simple, Robust and Powerful Tests of the Breaking Trend Hypothesis,"
Discussion Papers
06/11, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Simple, Robust, And Powerful Tests Of The Breaking Trend Hypothesis," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 995-1029, August.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor, 2005.
"On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing,"
Discussion Papers
05-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Taylor A.M. Robert, 2006. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
- Robert Taylor & Stephen Leybourne & David Harvey, 2004.
"Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence,"
Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings
64, Econometric Society.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2006. "Modified tests for a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 441-469, October.
- Steve Leybourne & David Harvey, 2003. "On Unit Root Tests and the Initial Observation," Econometrics 0311006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Articles
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2021.
"Real‐time detection of regimes of predictability in the US equity premium,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 45-70, January.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2020. "Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27775, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021.
"Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021. "Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2020. "Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 226-246.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Zu, Yang, 2020. "Sign-Based Unit Root Tests For Explosive Financial Bubbles In The Presence Of Deterministically Time-Varying Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 122-169, February.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019.
"A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 528-541, July.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "A bootstrap stationarity test for predictive regression invalidity," Discussion Papers 17/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
- Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J. & Whitehouse Emily J., 2018.
"Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-29, February.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Discussion Papers 17/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Georgiev, Iliyan & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2018.
"Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 101-118.
- Georgiev, I & Harvey, DI & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AM, 2018. "Testing for Parameter Instability in Predictive Regression Models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 21162, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017.
"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," Discussion Papers 17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017.
"The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016. "The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests," Discussion Papers 16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert, 2017. "Improving the accuracy of asset price bubble start and end date estimators," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 121-138.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Discussion Papers 16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Robust and Powerful Tests for Nonlinear Deterministic Components," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(6), pages 780-799, December.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis, 2015. "Recursive Right-Tailed Unit Root Tests for an Explosive Asset Price Bubble," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 166-187.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "On infimum Dickey–Fuller unit root tests allowing for a trend break under the null," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 235-242.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2014. "Asymptotic behaviour of tests for a unit root against an explosive alternative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 64-68.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014.
"Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013. "Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change," Discussion Papers 13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Astill, Sam & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "Robust tests for a linear trend with an application to equity indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 168-185.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2014. "Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 93-111, February.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2013. "A bootstrap test for additive outliers in non-stationary time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 454-465, July.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2012. "An infimum coefficient unit root test allowing for an unknown break in trend," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 298-302.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011.
"Combining probability forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011. "Combining probability forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223, April.
- Ahmad, A.H. & Harvey, David I. & Pentecost, Eric J., 2011.
"Exchange rate regime verification: An alternative method of testing for regime changes,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(1), pages 96-98, October.
- A H Ahmad & E J Pentecost, 2011. "Exchange Rate Regime Verification: An Alternative Method of Testing for Regime Changes," Department of Economics Working Papers 22748, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011.
"Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of a possible break in trend and non-stationary volatility," Discussion Papers 09/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices," Discussion Papers 08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2010. "Testing for nonlinear deterministic components when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 379-391, September.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010.
"Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikoloas D. Sakkas, 2008. "Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Discussion Papers 09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010.
"Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269744, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- David I. Harvey & Neil M. Kellard & Jakob B. Madsen & Mark E. Wohar, 2010. "The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Four Centuries of Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(2), pages 367-377, May.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Rejoinder," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 658-667, June.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Simple, Robust, And Powerful Tests Of The Breaking Trend Hypothesis,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 995-1029, August.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2006. "Simple, Robust and Powerful Tests of the Breaking Trend Hypothesis," Discussion Papers 06/11, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Testing For A Unit Root In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1545-1588, December.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root in the presence of a possible break in trend," Discussion Papers 07/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 409-442, November.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions," Discussion Papers 08/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Xiao Bin, 2008.
"A Powerful Test for Linearity When the Order of Integration is Unknown,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/06, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2008. "Erratum to "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis" [Journal of Econometrics 141(2) (2007) 1302-1330]," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 396-397, April.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2007.
"A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1302-1330, December.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2006. "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis," Discussion Papers 06/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2007. "Testing for time series linearity," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 10(1), pages 149-165, March.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Taylor A.M. Robert, 2006.
"On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor, 2005. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Discussion Papers 05-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2006. "Power of a Unit‐Root Test and the Initial Condition," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 739-752, September.
- Harvey, David I. & van Dijk, Dick, 2006. "Sample size, lag order and critical values of seasonal unit root tests," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(10), pages 2734-2751, June.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2006.
"Modified tests for a change in persistence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 441-469, October.
- Robert Taylor & Stephen Leybourne & David Harvey, 2004. "Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 64, Econometric Society.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2005. "On testing for unit roots and the initial observation," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(1), pages 97-111, March.
- David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2005. "Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 165-175.
- David I. Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2005. "Forecast Encompassing and Parameter Estimation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 815-835, December.
- Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2005. "Corrigendum to ''Common features in UK sectoral output'': [Economic Modelling 19 (2002) 91-104]," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 207-211, January.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2004. "Tests for a Break in Level when the Order of Integration is Unknown," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(1), pages 133-146, February.
- David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2004. "Tests for Stationarity in Series with Endogenously Determined Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 863-894, December.
- Harvey, David I. & Newbold, Paul, 2003. "The non-normality of some macroeconomic forecast errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 635-653.
- Terence C. Mills & David I. Harvey, 2003. "Modelling trends in central England temperatures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 35-47.
- David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2003. "A Note On Busetti–Harvey Tests For Stationarity In Series With Structural Breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 159-164, March.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2003. "How great are the great ratios?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 163-177.
- David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2002. "Unit roots and double smooth transitions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 675-683.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July.
- Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2002. "Common features in UK sectoral output," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 91-104, January.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001. "Innovational Outlier Unit Root Tests With an Endogenously Determined Break in Level," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 63(5), pages 559-575, December.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001. "Analysis of a panel of UK macroeconomic forecasts," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(1), pages 37-55.
- David Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2000. "Tests for multiple forecast encompassing," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(5), pages 471-482.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Newbold, Paul, 1998. "Tests for Forecast Encompassing," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(2), pages 254-259, April.
- Harvey, David & Leybourne, Stephen & Newbold, Paul, 1997. "Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 281-291, June.
Chapters
- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2009. "Forecast Combination and Encompassing," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terence C. Mills & Kerry Patterson (ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, chapter 4, pages 169-198, Palgrave Macmillan.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 18 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (17) 2003-11-23 2004-10-30 2005-07-25 2006-11-18 2008-12-14 2010-02-05 2010-03-20 2010-10-02 2015-07-18 2016-02-04 2016-07-23 2017-07-23 2017-07-23 2018-10-15 2018-12-24 2020-06-08 2021-02-22. Author is listed
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (17) 2003-11-23 2004-10-30 2005-07-25 2006-11-18 2008-12-14 2010-02-05 2010-03-20 2010-10-02 2015-07-18 2016-02-04 2016-07-23 2017-07-23 2017-07-23 2017-09-17 2018-12-24 2020-06-08 2021-02-22. Author is listed
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (2) 2006-11-18 2017-07-23
- NEP-FIN: Finance (1) 2005-07-25
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2021-02-22
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