IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/b/wfo/wstudy/70395.html
   My bibliography  Save this book

Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Schiman-Vukan

Abstract

Die gegenwärtigen und sich fortsetzenden demografischen Veränderungen, insbesondere die Zunahme der älteren Bevölkerung, haben bedeutende Auswirkungen auf den Staatshaushalt. Die vorliegende Studie untersucht den Einfluss des demografischen Wandels auf die öffentlichen Ausgaben Österreichs für Pensionen, Gesundheit, Bildung, Pflege und Familien unter Berücksichtigung der aktuellen gesetzlichen Rahmenbedingungen. Der Wechsel geburtenstarker Jahrgänge ("Babyboomer") von der Erwerbstätigkeit in das Pensionsalter sowie der Anstieg der Lebenserwartung und die damit verbundene stärkere Inanspruchnahme von Gesundheits- und Pflegedienstleistungen haben eine Zunahme der (öffentlichen) Sozialausgaben zur Folge. Hinzu kommt, dass die Staatsverschuldung aufgrund des COVID-19-bedingten Konjunktureinbruchs und der expansiven Fiskalpolitik deutlich über dem Ausgangswert der letzten langfristigen Prognose liegt. Vor diesem Hintergrund wird die Staatsverschuldung in wenigen Jahren mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit wieder rascher expandieren als die nominelle Wirtschaftsleistung.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2022. "Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 70395.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:70395
    Note: With English abstract.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/70395
    File Function: abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert J. Gordon, 2016. "The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10544.
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Amy Finkelstein & Matthew J. Notowidigdo, 2013. "Income and Health Spending: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(4), pages 1079-1095, October.
    3. Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger & Matthias Firgo, 2018. "Aktuelle und künftige Versorgungsfunktion der mobilen Pflege- und Betreuungsdienste in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61563, August.
    4. Gilles Mourre & Aurélien Poissonnier, 2019. "What Drives the Responsiveness of the Budget Balance to the Business Cycle in EU Countries?," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 54(4), pages 237-249, July.
    5. Getzen, Thomas E., 2000. "Health care is an individual necessity and a national luxury: applying multilevel decision models to the analysis of health care expenditures," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 259-270, March.
    6. Baltagi, Badi H. & Moscone, Francesco, 2010. "Health care expenditure and income in the OECD reconsidered: Evidence from panel data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 804-811, July.
    7. Anindya Sen, 2005. "Is Health Care a Luxury? New Evidence from OECD Data," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 147-164, June.
    8. Joan Costa‐Font & Marin Gemmill & Gloria Rubert, 2011. "Biases in the healthcare luxury good hypothesis?: a meta‐regression analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 174(1), pages 95-107, January.
    9. Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url & Helmut Hofer & Sandra Müllbacher, 2014. "A Long-run Macroeconomic Model of the Austrian Economy (A-LMM). New Results (2014)," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47254, August.
    10. Nathalie Girouard & Christophe André, 2005. "Measuring Cyclically-adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 434, OECD Publishing.
    11. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Simon Loretz, 2022. "Energiepreisschock trübt auch mittelfristig die Wirtschaftsaussichten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2023 bis 2027," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 95(10), pages 643-661, October.
    12. Isabel Casas & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Shangyu Xie, 2021. "Time‐varying income elasticities of healthcare expenditure for the OECD and Eurozone," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 328-345, April.
    13. Joseph P. Newhouse, 1992. "Medical Care Costs: How Much Welfare Loss?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 6(3), pages 3-21, Summer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Angela Köppl & Stefan Schleicher & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2023. "Klima- und umweltrelevante öffentliche Ausgaben in Österreich," WIFO Working Papers 655, WIFO.
    2. Wifo, 2020. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 6/2020," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(6), June.
    3. Angela Köppl & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2024. "Policy Brief: Budgetäre Kosten und Risiken durch klimapolitisches Nichthandeln und Klimarisiken," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 70821, August.
    4. Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2023. "Budgetpolitik in einem unsicheren ökonomischen und geopolitischen Umfeld. Bundesvoranschlag 2024 und Mittelfristiger Finanzrahmen 2024 bis 2027," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 96(12), pages 833-844, December.
    5. Simon Loretz & Hans Pitlik, 2024. "Österreichischer Stabilitätspakt 2012 und föderative Lastenverschiebungen. Eine Projektion für die Jahre 2024 bis 2028," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 71320.
    6. Thomas Url, 2016. "Langfristige Prognose des Aufwands für Langzeitpflege," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58844, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2016. "Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich. Projektionen des Staatshaushalts bis 2060," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58802, August.
    2. Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2013. "Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich. Projektionen des Staatshaushalts bis 2050," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46670, August.
    3. Mehdi Barati & Hadiseh Fariditavana, 2020. "Asymmetric effect of income on the US healthcare expenditure: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1979-2008, April.
    4. Mujaheed Shaikh & Afschin Gandjour, 2019. "Pharmaceutical expenditure and gross domestic product: Evidence of simultaneous effects using a two‐step instrumental variables strategy," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 101-122, January.
    5. Badi H. Baltagi & Raffaele Lagravinese & Francesco Moscone & Elisa Tosetti, 2017. "Health Care Expenditure and Income: A Global Perspective," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(7), pages 863-874, July.
    6. Moheddine Younsi & Mohamed Chakroun & Amine Nafla, 2016. "Robust analysis of the determinants of healthcare expenditure growth: evidence from panel data for low-, middle- and high-income countries," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 580-601, October.
    7. Christine de la Maisonneuve & Rodrigo Moreno‐Serra & Fabrice Murtin & Joaquim Oliveira Martins, 2017. "The Role of Policy and Institutions on Health Spending," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(7), pages 834-843, July.
    8. Fan, Victoria Y. & Savedoff, William D., 2014. "The health financing transition: A conceptual framework and empirical evidence," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 112-121.
    9. Murthy, Vasudeva N.R. & Okunade, Albert A., 2016. "Determinants of U.S. health expenditure: Evidence from autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 67-73.
    10. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Muhammad Iftikhar Ul Husnain, 2019. "Is health care a luxury or necessity good? Evidence from Asian countries," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 213-233, June.
    11. Victoria Fan and William Savedoff, 2014. "The Health Financing Transition: A Conceptual Framework and Empirical Evidence - Working Paper 358," Working Papers 358, Center for Global Development.
    12. Felipa de Mello-Sampayo & Sofia de Sousa-Vale, 2014. "Financing Health Care Expenditure in the OECD Countries: Evidence from a Heterogeneous, Cross-Sectional Dependent Panel," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(2), pages 207-225, March.
    13. Joan Costa‐Font & Marin Gemmill & Gloria Rubert, 2011. "Biases in the healthcare luxury good hypothesis?: a meta‐regression analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 174(1), pages 95-107, January.
    14. Nilgun Yavuz & Veli Yilanci & Zehra Ozturk, 2013. "Is health care a luxury or a necessity or both? Evidence from Turkey," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 14(1), pages 5-10, February.
    15. Y. Natalia Alfonso & Guiru Ding & David Bishai, 2016. "Income Elasticity of Vaccines Spending versus General Healthcare Spending," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(7), pages 860-872, July.
    16. Hyejin Lee & Dong-Yop Oh & Ming Meng, 2019. "Stationarity and cointegration of health care expenditure and GDP: evidence from tests with smooth structural shifts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 631-652, August.
    17. Eugene Kouassi & Gnoudentiho G Silue & Oluyele Akinkugbe & Jean Marcelin B Brou, 2017. "Health expenditures and Income with Nonstationary Panel Data: Evidence from ECOWAS Member Countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 2198-2218.
    18. Shubhangi Agrawal & Sambit Bhattacharyya & Chirantan Chatterjee & Somdeep Chatterjee, 2024. "Income shock and Women’s Health Spending:Evidence from India," Working Paper Series 1324, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    19. Felipa de Mello-Sampayo & Sofia de Sousa-Vale, 2014. "Financing Health Care Expenditure in the OECD Countries: Evidence from a Heterogeneous, Cross-Sectional Dependent Panel," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(2), pages 207-225.
    20. Cockx, Lara & Francken, Nathalie, 2014. "Extending the concept of the resource curse: Natural resources and public spending on health," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 136-149.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:70395. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Florian Mayr (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wifooat.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.