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Austrian Agriculture 2020-2050. Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Production, Livestock and Production Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Franz Sinabell
  • Martin Schönhart
  • Erwin Schmid

    (University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development)

Abstract

Agriculture contributes approximately 10 percent to the emission of greenhouse gases in Austria. Therefore, it is important to evaluate the long-term development of the sector in order to assess whether Austria is achieving its emission targets. In three scenarios, adaptation paths of Austrian agriculture to changed price developments and political framework conditions up to 2050 are examined. The reduction of arable land observed so far was continued in the scenarios. The results show sustained production incentives for milk production. Contrary to recent observations, the results indicate a reduction in poultry meat production. In arable farming, maize production will increase, mainly due to the assumed productivity gains.

Suggested Citation

  • Franz Sinabell & Martin Schönhart & Erwin Schmid, 2018. "Austrian Agriculture 2020-2050. Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Production, Livestock and Production Systems," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61571, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:61571
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Schönhart, Martin & Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin & Heinrich, Georg & Gobiet, Andreas, 2014. "Integrated Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Measures in Austrian Agriculture," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 63(03), pages 1-21, September.
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    8. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2005. "Austrian Agriculture 2005-2020. Consequences of Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emission," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58401, March.
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    10. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2003. "Entkopplung der Direktzahlungen. Konsequenzen für Österreichs Landwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 23706, March.
    11. Schönhart, Martin & Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin & Heinrich, Georg & Gobiet, Andreas, 2014. "Integrated Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Measures in Austrian Agriculture," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 63(3).
    12. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2008. "Analyse von Handlungsoptionen für die Zukunft des Milchmarktes in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 31543, March.
    13. Schmid, Erwin & Sinabell, Franz, 2005. "Using the Positive Mathematical Programming Method to Calibrate Linear Programming Models," Discussion Papers DP-10-2005, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development.
    14. Daniela Kletzan-Slamanig & Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2004. "Landwirtschaft und Wasser. Nutzung, Kostendeckung und Entwicklung der Belastung," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 25289, March.
    15. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid & Martin Schönhart, 2011. "Austrian Agriculture 2010-2030. Consequences of Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gases," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58402, March.
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    Agriculture; Austria; Forecasts;
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