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Mittelfristige Beschäftigungsprognose für Österreich und die Bundesländer. Berufliche und sektorale Veränderungen 2013 bis 2020

Author

Listed:
  • Marian Fink
  • Thomas Horvath
  • Ulrike Huemer

    (WIFO)

  • Helmut Mahringer

    (WIFO)

  • Mark Sommer

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Als Basis für eine mittelfristige Schätzung des Qualifizierungsbedarfs erarbeitet das WIFO regelmäßig Prognosen der Beschäftigungsentwicklung nach Berufsgruppen, Branchen und Geschlecht. Dazu wurde eine modellgestützte Prognoseinfrastruktur aufgebaut. Die aktuelle Berechnung deckt den Zeitraum 2013 bis 2020 ab und bietet eine detaillierte Prognose für 38 Branchen und 59 Berufsgruppen. Auf Ebene der neun Bundesländer werden neben 38 Branchen 27 Berufsgruppen unterschieden. Bei einem Wachstum der Gesamtbeschäftigung von knapp 1% pro Jahr zeigt sich ein deutlicher Trend zu höheren Qualifikationsanforderungen und zu dienstleistungs- und kundenorientierten Tätigkeiten. Während einfache Tätigkeiten in der Sachgüterproduktion an Bedeutung verlieren, wächst die Nachfrage nach Hilfstätigkeiten im Dienstleistungsbereich.

Suggested Citation

  • Marian Fink & Thomas Horvath & Ulrike Huemer & Helmut Mahringer & Mark Sommer, 2014. "Mittelfristige Beschäftigungsprognose für Österreich und die Bundesländer. Berufliche und sektorale Veränderungen 2013 bis 2020," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 57914.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:57914
    Note: With English abstract.
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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