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Energieszenarien 2050. Herausforderungen an die österreichische Energiewirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Kurt Kratena

    (WIFO)

  • Mark Sommer

    (Austrian Institute of Economic Research)

  • Ursula Eysin
  • Karl Rose

    (Strategy Lab)

Abstract

Für die Schätzung von Szenarien zur Entwicklung von Energieverbrauch und Energieerzeugung in Österreich im Zeitraum 2010/2050 greift das WIFO auf konsistent formulierte Umfeldszenarien (Storylines) der weltweiten Entwicklung der Energiemärkte, der Industrie und der Gesellschaft zurück. Dabei wurden vor allem folgende Ansatzpunkte für exogene Modelleinflüsse berücksichtigt: wirtschaftliche Variable (Preise, Einkommen, Exportstruktur), Strukturwandel der Industrie, Präferenz- und Lifestyleänderungen der privaten Haushalte, Technologieentwicklungen im Energieerzeugungssektor und Effizienzentwicklung im Energieverbrauch (Fahrzeugflotten, alternative Antriebe, Heizungsanlagen und Haushaltsgeräte). Die Analyse basiert auf dem DYNK-Modell (Dynamic New-Keynsian) des WIFO.

Suggested Citation

  • Kurt Kratena & Mark Sommer & Ursula Eysin & Karl Rose, 2014. "Energieszenarien 2050. Herausforderungen an die österreichische Energiewirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47185.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:47185
    Note: With English abstract.
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kurt Kratena & Gerhard Streicher & Umed Temurshoev & Antonio F. Amores & Iñaki Arto & Ignazio Mongelli & Frederik Neuwahl & José-Manuel Rueda-Cantuche & Valeria Andreoni, 2013. "FIDELIO 1: Fully Interregional Dynamic Econometric Long-term Input-Output Model for the EU 27," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46816, April.
    2. Kurt Kratena & Ina Meyer & Mark Sommer, 2013. "Energy Scenarios 2030. Model Projections of Energy Demand as a Basis to Quantify Austria's Greenhouse Gas Emissions," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46702, April.
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