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The spatial dimension of US house prices

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  • Pijnenburg, Katharina

Abstract

Spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence are two well established aspects of house price developments. However, the analysis of differences in spatial dependence across time and space has not gained much attention yet. This paper jointly analyses these three aspects of spatial data. A panel smooth transition regression model is applied that allows for heterogeneity across time and space in spatial house price spillovers and for heterogeneity in the effect of the fundamentals on house price dynamics. Evidence is found for heterogeneity in spatial spillovers of house prices across space and time: house prices in neighbouring regions spill over more in times of increasing neighbouring house prices then when neighbouring house prices are declining. This is interpreted as evidence for the disposition effect. Moreover, heterogeneity in the effect of the fundamentals on house price dynamics could not be detected for all variables; real per capita disposable income and the unemployment rate have a homogeneous effect across time and space.

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  • Pijnenburg, Katharina, 2017. "The spatial dimension of US house prices," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 466-481.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:215791
    DOI: 10.1177/0042098015606595
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    4. P. S. Morawakage & G. Earl & B. Liu & E. Roca & A. Omura, 2023. "Housing Risk and Returns in Submarkets with Spatial Dependence and Heterogeneity," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 695-734, November.
    5. Gabriel S. Lee & Stefanie Braun, 2021. "Agglomeration Spillover Effects in German Land and House Prices at the City and County Levels," Working Papers 207, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
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    8. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "A regional decomposition of US housing prices and volume: market dynamics and Portfolio diversification," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 66(2), pages 279-307, April.
    9. I-Chun Tsai, 2019. "Interregional correlations in the US housing market at three price tiers," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, August.
    10. I-Chun Tsai, 2018. "The cause and outcomes of the ripple effect: housing prices and transaction volume," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(2), pages 351-373, September.
    11. Ryan R. Brady, 2021. "Direct Forecasting for Applied Regional Analysis," Departmental Working Papers 67, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    12. Yingchao Lin & Zhili Ma & Ke Zhao & Weiyan Hu & Jing Wei, 2018. "The Impact of Population Migration on Urban Housing Prices: Evidence from China’s Major Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-14, September.
    13. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2019. "A Regional Decomposition of US Housing Prices and Volume: Market Dynamics and Economic Diversification Opportunities," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-06, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.

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