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International Stock Market Comovements: What Happened during the Financial Crisis?

Author

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  • Roman Horvath

    (Charles University, Czech Academy of Sciences)

  • Petr Poldauf

    (University of St. Gallen)

Abstract

We investigate the stock market comovements in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Africa, the UK, and the USA, both at the market and sectoral level in 2000-2010. Using multivariate GARCH models, our results suggest that the correlation among equity returns during the financial crisis (2008-2010) somewhat increased, suggesting that the crisis represented a common shock to all countries. The U.S. stock market is found to be the most correlated with the stock markets in Brazil, Canada and UK. The correlation of U.S. and Chinese stock market is essentially zero before the crisis; it becomes slightly positive during the crisis. The sectoral indices are less correlated than the market indices over the whole period, but, again, the correlations increase during the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Horvath & Petr Poldauf, 2012. "International Stock Market Comovements: What Happened during the Financial Crisis?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:gejxxx:v:12:y:2012:i:01:n:1524-5861.1788
    DOI: 10.1515/1524-5861.1788
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    1. Roman Horvath & Petr Poldauf, 2012. "International Stock Market Comovements: What Happened during the Financial Crisis?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, March.
    2. Gjika, Dritan & Horváth, Roman, 2013. "Stock market comovements in Central Europe: Evidence from the asymmetric DCC model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-64.
    3. Reis, Pedro Nogueira & Pinto, António Pedro Soares, 2024. "Unlocking portfolio resilient and persistent risk: A holistic approach to unveiling potential grounds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Azra Zaimovic & Adna Omanovic & Almira Arnaut-Berilo, 2021. "How Many Stocks Are Sufficient for Equity Portfolio Diversification? A Review of the Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-30, November.
    6. Das, Sonali & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Mangisa, Siphumlile, 2019. "The effect of global crises on stock market correlations: Evidence from scalar regressions via functional data analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 132-147.
    7. Luis V. Bejarano-Bejarano & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Luis F. Melo-Velandia & Jhon E. Torres-Gorron, 2015. "Financial Contagion in Latin America," Borradores de Economia 12820, Banco de la Republica.
    8. Edson Z. Monte & Lucas B. Defanti, 2021. "Dynamic Interdependence and Volatility Transmission from the American to the Brazilian Stock Market," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2021/09, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    9. Hakim, Idwan & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Portfolio diversification strategy for Malaysia: International and sectoral perspectives," MPRA Paper 58909, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Edson Zambon Monte & Renzo Caliman Souza & Ricardo Ramalhe Moreira, 2023. "Interrelationships Between the Brazilian Financial Market and Foreign Financial Markets: New Evidence During and After the Subprime Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(5), pages 1-37, May.
    11. Nico Katzke, 2013. "South African Sector Return Correlations: using DCC and ADCC Multivariate GARCH techniques to uncover the underlying dynamics," Working Papers 17/2013, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    12. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Trinh Thi Mai & Moade Shubita, 2021. "Development of Vietnamese stock market: Influence of domestic macroeconomic environment and regional markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1435-1458, January.
    13. Linyu Cao & Ruili Sun & Tiefeng Ma & Conan Liu, 2023. "On Asymmetric Correlations and Their Applications in Financial Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, March.
    14. Francesco Maria Chelli & Francesca Mariani & Maria Cristina Recchioni & Andrea Rimondi, 2018. "Stock return comovements and economic wealth conditions," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 72(4), pages 5-16, October-D.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crisis; stock market comovements; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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