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Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications

Author

Listed:
  • Imran Yousaf

    (Air University School of Management, Air University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Shoaib Ali

    (Air University School of Management, Air University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Wing-Keung Wong

    (Department of Finance, Fintech Center, and Big Data Research Center, Asia University, Taichung 41354, Taiwan
    Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
    Department of Economics and Finance, The Hang Seng University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China)

Abstract

This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets (USA and China) and four emerging Latin American stock markets over the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of the Chinese stock market of 2015. Regarding return spillover, our findings reveal a unidirectional return transmission from Mexico to the US stock market during the global financial crisis. During the crash of the Chinese stock market, the return spillover is found to be unidirectional from the US to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets. Moreover, the results indicate a unidirectional return transmission from China to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the bidirectional volatility transmission is observed between the US and Mexican stock markets. Furthermore, the volatility spillover is unidirectional from China to the Brazil stock market during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the volatility spillover is bidirectional between the China and Brazil stock markets. Lastly, a portfolio analysis application has been conducted.

Suggested Citation

  • Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:13:y:2020:i:7:p:148-:d:381691
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    3. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
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    5. Wu, Xu & Wang, Pei-Yu & Wang, Kun, 2023. "The effect of stabilization fund to rescue stock market based on expected return-capita circulation equation," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    6. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Muhammad Naveed & Ifraz Adeel, 2021. "Risk and Return Transmissions From Crude Oil to Latin American Stock Markets During the Crisis: Portfolio Implications," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, April.
    7. Cynthia Sari DEWI & Florentina KURNIASARI & Helena DEWI & Eko ENDARTO & Nurhuda NIZAR, 2021. "Return Spillover Between The U.S., Japanese, And Indonesian Stock Market During Covid-19," Business Excellence and Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(5), pages 196-207, October.

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